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| United States Department of Agriculture |
| Foreign Agricultural Service |
Circular Series
FG 0408 |
| April 2008 |
|
Grain:
World Markets and Trade
|
COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE
MONTHLY HIGHLIGHTS:
This month, U.S.
corn exports are boosted another 1.0 million
tons to a new record of 63.0 million tons. China
continues to be absent from the market and
demand from Asia, particularly South Korea,
remains firm. These factors have resulted in
U.S. sales and shipments remaining strong. For
example, the first quarter of calendar year 2008
saw sales 1.8 million tons above last year and
shipments 2.6 million tons above last year. At
the same time, expectations for EU-27 imports
have climbed yet again leaving the United States
virtually the only supplier to many markets that
might otherwise import from Argentina and
Brazil.
PRICES:
Domestic: U.S.
corn export prices averaged $235 per ton in
March, up $9 from February. However, the March
31 release of USDA’s Prospective Plantings
and Grain Stocks reports, prices shot up
and have continued to do so into the first week
of April on expectations of tightened supplies.
Sorghum prices averaged $237 per ton, up $10
from February. Prices remain firm due to demand
from the EU-27.
TRADE CHANGES IN
2007/2008
Selected Exporters
- United States corn is raised 1.0
million tons to a new record of 63.0
million.
- Argentina sorghum is up 200,000
tons to 1.2 million on expected EU-27
demand.
- Argentina barley is up 150,000
tons to 650,000 due to increased old-crop
production.
- Canada barley jumped 200,000 tons
to 2.4 million following high early season
purchases from Saudi Arabia and the United
States.
- Canada rye jumped 25,000 tons to
125,000 on robust demand from Japan.
Selected Importers
is boosted by 1.0 tons to 11.5 million, the
highest in 25 years, based on the pace of
import licenses and reports of new-crop
sales and shipments from Brazil and
Argentina.
- Egypt corn
is cut by 800,000 tons to 4.2 million
because of weak demand arising from
lingering cases of Avian Influenza and
rising prices affecting feed users.
- Indonesia corn
is down by 200,000 tons to 600,000. Higher
expected production more than offsets
increased feed demand.
- Syria corn
is reduced by 200,000 tons to 1.8 million.
- EU-27 sorghum
is up 200,000 tons to 4.5 million based on
the pace of import licenses and expected
shipments from Argentina.
- Morocco barley
is lowered 200,000 tons to 700,000 because
of higher old-crop production.
- EU-27 rye
is up 25,000 tons to 75,000 following large
purchases from Russia.
- Japan rye
is raised 25,000 tons to100,000 due to a
strong first quarter pace.
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