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| United States Department of Agriculture |
| Foreign Agricultural Service |
Circular Series
FG 0308 |
| March 2008 |
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Grain:
World Markets and Trade
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COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE
MONTHLY HIGHLIGHTS:
Argentina Reopens
Corn Export Registrations: With the reopening of
corn export sales after a long hiatus, 2.1
million tons were registered in the first two
days. Assuming no further restrictions on sales
and shipments, logistical constraints pose no
threat to USDA’s forecast of 14.5 million tons,
despite competition for port facilities from
wheat and soybeans.
PRICES:
Domestic: U.S
corn export prices averaged $226 per ton in
February, up over $6 from January. Demand for
feed grains and tight supplies have kept corn
prices strong. Sorghum prices averaged $227 per
ton, down $4 from January. Prices remain firm
due to continued demand from the EU-27.
TRADE CHANGES IN
2007/2008
Selected Exporters
- China corn is cut in half to 500,000
tons, the lowest since 1995/96. Recent
reports indicate that new sales are not
being permitted as the government seeks to
ensure grain supplies are sufficient to meet
domestic demand and to control food price
inflation.
- Brazil corn
is boosted by 1.5
million tons to a record 10.5 million.
Continued new-crop sales to the EU-27 have
given Brazil extraordinary market
opportunities.
- India corn
is raised 200,000 tons to
700,000 based on reports of shipments to
Southeast Asia.
- Australia sorghum
is up 200,000 tons
to 250,000 on an expected record crop (2.5
million tons).
Selected Importers
- EU-27 corn
is boosted by 500,000
tons to 10.5 million, the highest in over 20
years, based on sales and shipments from
Brazil and reports of pending new-crop sales
from Argentina.
- Malaysia corn
is down by 200,000
tons to 2.5 million. Although a recovery in
livestock production is expected this year,
trade data for the prior year showed a
slowing of feed grain demand (imports were
lowered by 300,000 tons).
- Mexico corn
is cut by 500,000 tons
to 9.7 million based on the pace of
purchases and shipments. Although the final
provisions of NAFTA were expected to result
in a surge of corn imports from the United
States, that has not yet happened. Cracked
corn imports are down year-to-year as
expected but dried distillers grains are up.
- Uruguay corn
is raised by 200,000
tons to 300,000 based on strong border trade
with Paraguay in the first quarter of the
trade year.
- China barley
imports are down
100,000 tons to 1.2 million due to higher
production. (Exports were raised 90,000 tons
to 100,000 on increased shipments to Saudi
Arabia and Japan).
- EU-27 sorghum
is up 300,000 tons to
4.3 million based on the pace of import
licenses and expected shipments from
Argentina and Brazil.
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