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United States Department of Agriculture
Foreign Agricultural Service
Circular Series
FG 1107
November 2007
Grain:  World Markets and Trade

RICE: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

PRICES:

International: Thai quotes are up $8 from last month to $340 per ton, FOB. Vietnam is currently not making new sales due to an export ban.

Domestic: U.S. #2/4 long grain milled rice quotes are up from last month to $467 per ton, FOB. The spread between comparable qualities of Thai and U.S. rice is $127 per ton compared to $140 per ton this time last year. California medium grain #1/4 prices are up $40 per ton from last month to $600 per ton, FOB.

TRADE CHANGES FOR 2008

Selected Exporters

  • India is lowered 700,000 to 3.4 million tons as the export ban is expected to continue.

  • Vietnam is increased 300,000 to 5.0 million tons in expectation of a bumper crop and high world prices and the expectation of the lifting of the export ban as new supplies become available in early 2008.

  • United States is raised 100,000 to 3.4 million tons in anticipation of greater demand from major trading partners.

Selected Importers

  • Bangladesh is increased 400,000 to 800,000 tons due to tight supplies.

  • Brazil is lowered 100,000 to 800,000 tons.

  • Iraq is lowered 200,000 to 1.1 million tons as high prices and shipping rates are expected to slow imports.

TRADE CHANGES FOR 2007

Selected Exporters

  • China is down 100,000 to 1.3 million tons due to a slow export pace.

  • India is lowered 200,000 to 4.0 million tons as a result of the October 9, 2007 export ban on higher priced non-basmati rice.

  • Pakistan is down 100,000 tons to 3.0 million tons as a result of slow shipments.

Selected Importers

  • Bangladesh is decreased 100,000 to 650,000 tons reflecting a slower shipment pace.

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