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| United States Department of Agriculture |
| Foreign Agricultural Service |
Circular Series
FG 1107 |
| November 2007 |
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Grain:
World Markets and Trade
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COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE
PRICES:
Domestic:
U.S corn export prices averaged
$172 per ton in October, up over $5 from
September prices. Strong export demand and
indications of a smaller crop have kept prices
firm. Sorghum prices remain high (although down
$12) at $201 per ton because of solid foreign
demand.
TRADE CHANGES IN
2007/2008
Selected Exporters
- India corn
is doubled to 500,000 tons because of
improved crop prospects.
- South Africa corn
is boosted by 200,000 tons to 1.0 million.
New crop supplies will find strong regional
demand.
- EU-27 barley
is up 200,000 tons to 4.2 million because of
steady demand from North Africa and limited
competition.
- United States barley
is up 500,000 tons to 1.0 million, the
highest in 7 years, because of strong sales
to Japan.
- Argentina sorghum
is boosted by 200,000 tons to 1.0 million
due to strong demand from EU- 27 as
evidenced by new-crop export registrations.
- United States sorghum
is raised 400,000 tons to 7.0 million, the
highest in 16 years, due to strong demand
from EU-27.
Selected Importers
- Canada corn
is boosted by 300,000 tons to 2.3 million
because of strong purchases. Corn is very
competitive against other grains, which have
attractive international prices and are
being exported.
- Japan corn
is raised 200,000 tons to 16.3 million
reflecting a more gradual slowdown in meat
production.
- South Korea corn
is cut by 300,000 tons to 8.8 million
(following a similar cut with final trade
data for 2006/07). Although corn is
continuing to substitute for scarce
feed-quality wheat, other nongrain feed
ingredients (e.g., distiller’s grains and
tapioca) are reducing the need for corn.
- Venezuela corn
is boosted by 200,000 tons to 500,000 in
light of strong poultry production.
- Saudi Arabia barley
is boosted 200,000 tons to 6.0 million as
imports are not expected to be effected by
high prices (2006/07 was increased 300,000
tons based on updated trade data).
- United States barley
is raised 150,000 tons to 300,000 because of
tight stocks resulting in an increased need
for Canadian malting barley supplies.
- EU-27 sorghum
soars by 700,000 tons to a record 3.7
million. Import licenses and outstanding
purchases of U.S. sorghum reflect the
shortage of feed grains.
- Mexico sorghum
is cut by 500,000 tons to 2.0 million, the
lowest in over a decade, due to a higher
crop estimate, the slow pace of sales, and
availability of U.S. corn.
TRADE CHANGES IN
2006/2007
Selected Exporters
- Argentina corn
is up 500,000 tons to 15.5 million as
shipments continue at a record pace.
- Paraguay corn is
raised nearly 250,000 tons to 2.0 million, a
record, with final trade data. The country
has expanded trade with Brazil. (Brazil’s
imports are raised 150,000 tons to 1.2
million, the highest in 7 years.)
Selected Importers
- Egypt corn
is raised 200,000 tons to 4.8 million based
on near-final trade data.
- South Africa corn
is raised 200,000 tons to 1.0 million, the
highest in over a decade, amid reports of
tightening supplies.
- China barley
is dropped 173,000 tons to 1.1 million based
on final trade data and reflects tightness
in the global malting barley trade because
of reduced Australian exportable supplies.
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Contents
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