Grain: World Markets and Trade
Foreign Agricultural Service Circular Series
FG 06-06

June 2006 


Black Sea Region Wheat Exports to Drop by Half

Two charts depicting the expected drop in Black Sea regional wheat exports to their traditional markets due to short wheat supply caused by a dry fall season, combined with a harsh winter weather and a

Black Sea region exports this year are forecast to fall by half as a result of sharply smaller exportable wheat supplies. Many countries in this region experienced very dry fall weather which reduced planted area, and combined with a harsh winter to shrink production. Strong export campaigns in 2005/06 also meant that stocks in the region did not build and therefore will not help offset this production shortfall. Domestically, reduced wheat production coupled with larger barley crops should result in a shift of feeding towards barley. Internationally, this smaller production will contribute to tight world supplies and expected higher global prices. It will also create opportunities for other suppliers such as the EU-25 and Argentina in key Mediterranean markets. Smaller Ukrainian supplies will also contribute to less global trade in feed-quality wheat, and some shift is likely to corn. EU-25 wheat import demand from the Black Sea region is expected to be replaced by larger domestic grain supplies, especially in Spain.


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Green ball image World Markets and Trade: Commentary and Current Data

Wheat Commentary [Text] [Adobe Acrobat Format]
Wheat Data Tables    [Excel Spreadsheet Format]  [Adobe Acrobat Format]
Rice Commentary   [Text] [Adobe Acrobat Format]
Rice Data Tables    [Excel Spreadsheet Format] [Adobe Acrobat Format]
Coarse Grains Commentary [Text] [Adobe Acrobat Format]
Coarse Grains Data Tables Excel Spreadsheet Format] [Adobe Acrobat Format]

Green ball image Historical Data Tables: Selected Regions and Countries

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Last modified: Thursday, March 08, 2007