WORLD COARSE GRAINS SITUATION AND OUTLOOK
World coarse grain trade for 2000/01 is projected down over 3 million tons to 101 million tons, due to larger crops in several major importing countries, especially Brazil and Russia. World production is expected to drop sharply as reductions in Eastern Europe and China are only partially offset by bigger crops in the United States, Brazil, and the EU. Global consumption is expected to remain at near record levels and global carryout stocks are forecast down over 22 million tons.
Global corn trade is projected to be down marginally from last year at 72.4 million tons. US exports are projected to increase over 1 million tons from 1999/00 levels, largely because of reduced competition from China and Eastern Europe. World barley trade is forecast to remain robust as Mid Eastern and North African demand continues strong. The EU will remain the largest supplier, although Australia and Canada are forecast to increase exports.
US Gulf FOB prices for corn have fluxuated over the last month, but are now only slightly above last months $94 a ton.
2000/01 Trade Changes
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