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January 2006 Edition:

U.S. Share of Turkey's Imports May Rise

Turkey’s cotton imports and mill use are forecast at a record 7.1 and 3.5 million 480-lb bales, respectively, in 2005/06 MY, marginally above 2004/05 MY. Turkey is the world’s second largest cotton importer and second largest market for U.S. exports. The United States is Turkey’s primary cotton supplier with an import market share of about 61 percent for 2004/05. Export activity to date suggests that the U.S. will maintain or improve market share in 2005/06.

So far in 2005/06 (through December 29th), more than 577,000 bales of U.S. cotton were exported to Turkey, up 41 percent from the same period in 2004/05. Most of Turkey’s increase in imports, as suggested by (August – November 2005) data, was U.S. cotton, driving up the U.S. market share from 55 percent to 65 percent. Although the market share for Greece, the second largest cotton supplier to Turkey, has faded from 30 percent to 17 percent over the same period, near record exportable cotton supplies will likely help push Greek exports to Turkey higher in the second half of 2005/06.

The growth seen in Turkey’s cotton imports is mostly due to government action to stop the in-flow of low-priced yarn and fabric from the FSU and Asian countries. Additionally, a strong lira and new protocol expanding a preferential customs union to the ten newest members of the EU will continue to support local mill use and the country’s dependence on cotton imports.

World and U.S. Cotton Situation and Outlook
Marketing Years 2003/04, 2004/2005, and 2005/06
1,000 480-Lb. Bales
  World U.S.
  2003/04 2004/2005 2005/2006 % Change 
04/05 - 05/06
2003/04 2004/2005 2005/2006 % Change 
04/05 - 05/06
Production 95,262 120,377 112,356 -6.7

18,255

23,251 23,719 2.0
Imports 33,900 33,133 41,996 26.7 45 29 40 37.9
Use 98,080 108,647 115,244 6.1 6,221 6,693 6,000 -10.4
Exports 33,245 34,695 41,435 19.4 13,758 14,409 16,400 13.8
Ending Stocks 40,717 51,616 50,774 -1.6 3,506 5,538 6,900 24.6

 

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Last modified: Sunday, March 17, 2013