	------ 1998/99 -------
Country	Current Estimate	Monthly Change	Monthly Change	Change from 1997/98	Comments
	MBALES	MBALES	(%)	(%)
World Total	84.9	-0.3	-0	-7	Production is estimated down based on lower production in the total foreign category.
United States	13.8	NC	NC	-27	No change this month.
Total Foreign	71.1	-0.3	-0	-2	Production is estimated lower mainly due to decreases mainly in Pakistan more than offset increases mostly in Turkey and Australia.
Pakistan	6.9	-0.3	-4	-4	Production is estimated lower due to poor harvest conditions for the second picking in Punjab and Sindh caused by unfavorable weather.
Benin	0.6	-0.1	-17	-17	Production is estimated lower due to unseasonable rains that caused decreases in both area and yield.
Turkey	3.9	+0.2	+6	+6	Production is estimated higher due to a recent NCAB report--higher area in the Southeast Anatolian region more than offset area losses in the Aegean region.
Australia	3.4	+0.1	+3	+11	Production is estimated higher due to an expansion in the dryland area. Yield is slightly down.

	------ 1998/99 -------
Country	Current Estimate	Monthly Change	Monthly Change	Change from 1997/98	Comments
	MMT	MMT	(%)	(%)
World	586.2	+0.5	+0	-4	Production is estimated higher due to an increase in total foreign output.
United States	69.4	NC	NC	+3	Production is unchanged this month.
Total Foreign	516.8	+0.5	+0	-5	Production is estimated higher due to increases in Argentina and Algeria.
Algeria	2.1	+0.6	+40	+121	Production is estimated higher due to an upward revision in area.
Argentina	10.8	+0.5	+4	-27	Production is estimated higher as harvest results indicate increased yield.
Paraguay	0.3	-0.2	-44	-38	Production is estimated lower due to a reduction in yield.

	------ 1998/99 -------
Country	Current Estimate	Monthly Change	Monthly Change	Change from 1997/98	Comments
	MMT	MMT	(%)	(%)
World	880.8	+0.3	+0	-0	Production is estimated higher due to an increase in total foreign production.
United States	271.6	NC	NC	+4	Production is unchanged this month.
Total Foreign	609.3	+0.3	+0	-2	Production is estimated higher as increases in Argentina, Philippines, Romania, Algeria, and Australia more than offset decreases in Russia, Thailand, and Ukraine.
Argentina	18.5	+1.0	+6	-25	Production is estimated higher due to an increase in corn harvested area and yield. Favorable weather during tassling boosted yield potential.
Philippines	4.8	+0.6	+14	+36	Production is estimated higher due to record corn yield and a slight increase in area.
Romania	10.2	+0.4	+4	-32	Production is estimated higher due to harvest results that indicated an increase in corn yield.
COARSE GRAINS, continued
	------ 1998/99 -------
Country	Current Estimate	Monthly Change	Monthly Change	Change from 1997/98	Comments
	MMT	MMT	(%)	(%)

Algeria	+0.9	+0.3	+48	+1,083	Production is estimated higher due to an upward revision in barley area.
Australia	8.3	+0.2	+2	-12	Production is estimated higher as favorable weather expands sorghum area and lifts yield potential.
Russia	19.0	-2.0	-9	-54	Production is estimated lower due to official reports reducing oats, corn and rye yields. Barley output is raised mainly due to an increase in area.
Ukraine	10.2	-0.2	-1	-34	Production is estimated lower based on official reports that reduced barley, oats, and rye yields. Also, corn output is raised due to an increase in harvested corn-for- grain area.
Thailand	4.5	-0.2	-4	+15	Production is estimated lower for corn due to reduced planted area caused by relatively weak prices and dry weather.

	------ 1998/99 -------
Country	Current Estimate	Monthly Change	Monthly Change	Change from 1997/98	Comments
	MMT	MMT	(%)	(%)
World	290.7	+1.3	+0	+2	Production is estimated higher due to an increase in the total foreign category.
United States	84.6	NC	NC	+2	Production is estimated unchanged this month.
Total Foreign	206.1	+1.3	+1	+2	Production is estimated higher as increases in Brazil, Argentina, Russia and Turkey more than offset decreases in India and Pakistan.
Brazil	31.4	+1.0	+3	-3	Production is forecast up due to favorable weather and good crop development for the current soybean crop.
Argentina	25.8	+0.6	+2	+2	Production is forecast up based on higher soybean and peanut yields as a result of beneficial rainfall.
Russia	3.4	+0.2	+6	+7	Production is estimated higher based on a revised official sunflowerseed estimate.
Turkey	2.1	+0.1	+7	+9	Production is estimated higher based on higher cottonseed area.
India	26.3	-0.3	-1	+9	Production is estimated down due to unfavorable weather in southern sunflower growing regions.
Pakistan	3.5	-0.2	-4	-5	Production of cottonseed is estimated lower due to poor harvest weather and pest damage to the cotton crop.