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WORLD AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION PART 1:
November 1997
This report draws on information from USDA's global network of agricultural
attaches and counselors, official statistics of foreign governments, other
foreign source materials, and results
of office analysis. Estimates of U.S. acreage, yield and production are from
the USDA Agricultural Statistics Board, except where noted. This report is
based on unrounded data; numbers may not add to totals because of rounding.
The report reflects official USDA estimates released in the World Agricultural
Supply Estimates (WASDE-332) November 10, 1997.
The report was prepared by the Production Estimates and Crop Assessment
Division, FAS, AGBOX 1045, 14th and Independence Ave., Washington, DC
20250-1000. Further information may be obtained by writing to the division,
or by calling (202) 720-0888, 9516, or by FAX (202) 720-8880.
The next issue of World Agricultural Production, Part 1, will be available
electronically after 3:30 pm local time on December 12, 1997.
WORLD AGRICULTURAL WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS
November 10, 1997
UNITED STATES: An unusually early blizzard and record low temperatures hit
the central Plains in late October, not only halting fieldwork but also
causing significant livestock loss in Colorado. Corn and soybean harvesting
progressed ahead of average. Wet weather delayed cotton harvesting in the
Southeast and slowed fieldwork in the Northwest . Generally favorable
conditions prevailed in the Southwest and the northern Plains.
SOUTH AMERICA: In southern Brazil, excessive rain in early October caused
flooding and slowed soybean planting. The rains also reduced winter wheat
quality and caused some crop damage. Showers boosted topsoil moisture in the
center-west for soybean planting. In central Argentina, above-normal October
rainfall increased topsoil moisture for summer crop planting and reproductive
winter wheat, especially in Santa Fe.
EUROPE: Mostly dry weather since mid-October in England, France, Germany, and
northern Italy benefitted summer crop harvesting and winter wheat planting.
In eastern Europe, unseasonably cold, dry weather limited winter wheat
establishment in Hungary and Slovakia, while cold, wet weather in southern
Romania and Bulgaria slowed summer crop harvesting and late winter wheat
planting. Periodic showers and cold weather in northern Greece hampered
cotton harvesting.
FSU-WESTERN: Above-normal precipitation in October in Ukraine and Russia
hampered summer crop harvesting but provided abundant moisture for winter
grain development. Winter grains in the north entered dormancy by late
October at typical dates. Below-normal temperatures since mid-October in
Ukraine and southern Russia limited winter grain establishment.
NORTHWESTERN AFRICA: Preparations for winter grain planting were taking place
in Morocco, Algeria, and Tunisia. Early-season rains in Algeria and Tunisia
likely prompted early winter grain planting.
SOUTH AFRICA: October rainfall promoted planting in northern and eastern
sections of the corn belt. However, southern corn areas remain too dry for
planting. More rain is needed across the corn belt and in coastal sugarcane
areas for normal development, as early-season rains have so far been sporadic.
Elsewhere, persistent warmth and dryness enabled rapid dry down of winter
wheat in Western Cape, but locally heavy rain raised some quality concerns on
the eastern edge of the crop area.
SOUTH ASIA: Despite the monsoon's withdrawal, unseasonable, locally heavy
showers continued from Pakistan to central India. While increasing long-term
moisture reserves for winter grains and oilseeds, the rain kept maturing
summer crops unfavorably wet. Greatest concern was for cotton.
EASTERN ASIA: Below-normal October rainfall reduced moisture for winter wheat
germination but hastened summer crop harvesting across the North China Plain.
Supplemental irrigation will be needed for adequate wheat establishment.
Below-normal rainfall favored rice harvesting across most of the Korean
Peninsula and southern Japan.
SOUTHEAST ASIA: Drought continued across Java and southern Sumatra during
October, delaying main-season rice planting. Above-normal October showers
boosted moisture supplies for second-season crops across northern Thailand and
Vietnam, but slowed main-season crop harvesting. Typhoon Ivan hit northern
Luzon on October 19, bringing needed rain but causing minor crop damage. The
northern and central Philippines experienced below-normal October rainfall.
AUSTRALIA: In October, a drying trend benefitted maturing winter grains and
promoted sorghum and cotton planting. However, immature wheat and barley
across the southeast required additional rainfall for normal development as
periods of unreasonable warmth accelerated growth. In early November, soaking
rains across the southeast provided most winter grains with adequate moisture
for the remainder of the season. Highly beneficial rain also covered summer
crop areas of southern Queensland, favoring crop establishment.
(More details are available in the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin.
USDA/Joint Agricultural Weather Facility
PRODUCTION HIGHLIGHTS FOR 1997/98
NOVEMBER 1997
------1997/98------ CHANGE
CURRENT MONTHLY MONTHLY FROM
COUNTRY ESTIMATE CHANGE CHANGE 1996/97
MMT MMT PERCENT PERCENT
World 603.0 +2.4 +0 +3
Production is estimated at a record level due to an increase in the total
foreign category.
United States 68.8 NC NC +11
Production is forecast unchanged this month.
Total Foreign 534.3 +2.4 +0 +3
Production is forecast at a record as increases in Russia, Australia, and
Ethiopia more than offset declines in Kazakstan and other producers.
Russia 44.0 +2.0 +5 +26
Production is forecast up due to harvest progress reports indicating higher
yields.
Australia 17.5 +0.5 +3 -26
Production is forecast higher due to timely rainfall in the southeastern
growing regions and continued favorable rainfall in Western Australia.
Ethiopia 1.9 +0.5 +36 +5
Production is forecast higher based on increased area and yield.
Lithuania 1.0 +0.2 +25 +7
Production is forecast higher due to favorable weather which increased yield.
Kyrgystan 1.4 +0.3 +27 +27
Production is forecast higher due to increased yield.
Moldova 1.2 +0.2 +20 +78
Production is forecast higher based on a increased yield.
Kazakstan 8.0 -1.0 -11 +4
Production is forecast lower due to harvest progress reports indicating
reduced yield.
Poland 8.3 -0.2 -2 -2
Production is forecast lower due to reduced yield as indicated by official
statistics.
South Africa 2.6 -0.2 -7 -4
Production is forecast lower due to above-normal temperatures and below-normal
rainfall in Cape Province which reduced yield prospects.
COARSE GRAINS
World 882.8 +3.9 +0 -2
Production is projected higher due to increases in the United States and the
total foreign category.
United States 265.4 +1.1 +0 -1
Production is forecast higher as an increase in corn yield more than offset a
decline in sorghum.
Total Foreign 617.4 +2.9 +0 -3
Production is projected higher mainly due to increases in Nigeria, Russia, and
Australia which more than offset declines in Brazil, Ukraine, Mexico, and
Indonesia.
Nigeria 17.0 +2.6 +18 +1
Production is forecast higher due to an upward revision in millet area as
reported by the U.S. agricultural attache in Lagos.
Russia 39.9 +1.5 +4 +25
Production is forecast higher based on harvest progress reports. Barley, oats,
and rye yields are raised, while corn yield is reduced.
Australia 8.0 +0.4 +5 -19
Production is forecast higher as favorable rainfall in the southeastern barley
areas increased yield prospects.
Ethiopia 6.9 +0.4 +5 -4
Production is forecast higher based on increased area and yield for corn and
millet.
Mozambique 1.4 +0.4 +35 -2
Production is forecast higher due to increased corn and sorghum area.
EU-15 107.4 +0.3 +0 +3
Production is forecast higher as increases in yield for corn and barley in France
more than offset lower yield for corn in Italy.
Moldova 1.7 +0.3 +21 +55
Production is forecast up due to indications of higher corn yield.
Brazil 33.8 -1.0 -3 -9
Production is forecast lower due to a decrease in corn area as stronger soybean
prices enticed growers to shift land away from corn.
Ukraine 13.7 -0.5 -4 +44
Production is forecast lower as wet harvest conditions reduce corn yield.
Mexico 25.5 -0.5 -2 -3
Production is forecast lower due to unfavorably dry conditions earlier in the
growing season that reduced corn yields.
Indonesia 6.5 -0.5 -7 NC
Production is forecast lower due to reduced corn area and yield.
Tanzania 3.0 -0.5 -14 -10
Production is forecast lower due to reductions in area and yield for corn and
sorghum.
Uganda 1.5 -0.4 -21 -14
Production is forecast lower due to reduced area and yield for corn, sorghum, and
millet.
Ghana 1.2 -0.2 -13 -20
Production is forecast lower due to reduced yield for corn and millet.
WORLD RICE (MILLED BASIS)
World 381.9 +1.1 +0 +1
Production is projected at a record level as output increases in the United
States and the total foreign category.
United States 5.9 +0.0 +0 +5
Production is forecast higher due to an increases in yield.
Total Foreign 376.1 +1.0 +0 +1
Production is forecast at a record level mainly due to an increase in China.
China 137.0 +1.0 +1 +0
Production is forecast at a record level as mild weather aided the single-rice
harvest and improved yields for the maturing late-rice crop.
OILSEEDS
World 279.8 +3.4 +1 +8
Production is estimated higher due to increases in the United States and the
total foreign category.
United States 84.7 +0.5 +1 +13
Production is estimated higher due to increased yields for soybeans and
cottonseed.
Total Foreign 195.1 +2.9 +1 +6
Production is estimated higher primarily due to increases in South America,
China, and Nigeria. Increases were partly offset by reductions in Turkey,
Pakistan, and Romania.
Nigeria 2.1 +1.6 +322 +2
Production is estimated higher due to revisions in the peanut and soybean data
series. Higher producer prices are anticipated to result in 10 percent more
area harvested for peanuts in 1997/98, but the non-availability of inputs are
likely to reduce yield, offsetting some of the production gain.
Brazil 29.8 +1.0 +3 +10
Production is forecast higher due to increased area and yield for soybeans.
Soybean area is estimated at a record 12.8 million hectares.
Argentina 21.7 +0.3 +1 +26
Production is forecast higher due to increased area for soybeans. Soybean
area is estimated at a record 6.6 million hectares.
China 39.2 +0.2 +1 -5
Production is estimated higher due to reports from several provinces
suggesting higher cottonseed output than previously projected.
Pakistan 3.9 -0.1 -3 +7
Production is estimated down as several weeks of heavy rains in the Punjab and
less intense rains in the Sindh have reduced cottonseed yield.
Turkey 1.9 -0.1 -7 +5
Production is estimated lower as cool, wet harvest conditions across the
Aegean and Southeast regions reduced cottonseed yield.
Romania 1.1 -0.1 -8 -16
Production is estimated lower due to diseases and unfavorable weather during
the sunflowerseed harvest.
PALM OIL
World 17.6 NC NC +2
No change this month. Record production is forecast.
COTTON
------1997/98------ CHANGE
CURRENT MONTHLY MONTHLY FROM
COUNTRY ESTIMATE CHANGE CHANGE 1996/97
MMT MMT PERCENT PERCENT
World Total 90.2 +0.3 +0 +1
Production is forecast higher due to increases in the United States and the
total foreign category.
United States 18.9 +0.4 +2 -1
Production is estimated up due to higher yield.
Total Foreign 71.3 -0.1 -0 +2
Production is forecast down mainly due to lower output in Pakistan,
Uzbekistan, India, Turkey, Azerbaijan, and some minor producers, more than
offsetting higher production in China, Syria, Australia, and the African Franc
zone countries.
Pakistan 7.7 -0.3 -4 +5
Production is estimated down as several weeks of heavy rain in the Punjab and
less intense rains in the Sindh reduced both yield and crop quality.
Uzbekistan 5.5 -0.3 -5 +16
Production is estimated down as cotton arrivals at gins have slowed indicating
the harvest is near completion. Also, recent snow decreased the ability to
finish the harvest.
India 12.9 -0.2 -2 -6
Production is estimated down as several weeks of heavy rain throughout the
northern growing area reduced both yield and crop quality.
Turkey 3.3 -0.2 -6 -8
Production is estimated lower as cool and wet harvest conditions across the
Aegean and Southeast regions reduced yield potential.
Azerbaijan 0.3 -0.2 -38 -34
Production is forecast down due to a heavy insect infestation during the
growing season and persistent cool, wet harvesting conditions which decreased
yield and quality.
China 18.0 +0.5 +3 -7
Production is estimated higher due to reports from several provinces
indicating higher output than previously expected.
Syria 1.3 +0.2 +13 +16
Production is estimated up due to improved yield prospects resulting from
favorable weather during maturation and harvest.
Australia 2.9 +0.1 +4 +4
Production is forecast up due to increased area and improved yield potential.
High reservoir levels and recent rains in September and October boosted cotton
prospects.
WHEAT : World Production Estimates
1995/96 - 1996/97 and Forecast 1997/98
Production, Area, and Yield for Selected Producers
------------------------------------------------------------------
| | |PRELIMINARY |1997/98 FORECAST
PRODUCER | UNIT | 1995/96 | 1996/97 |Oct.10 Nov.10
------------------------------------------------------------------
WORLD
Production MIL. MT 537.386 583.007 600.640 603.041
Area MIL. HA 219.426 230.900 228.757 229.068
Yield MT/HA 2.449 2.525 2.626 2.633
UNITED STATES
Production MIL. MT 59.400 62.191 68.761 68.761
Area MIL. HA 24.664 25.466 25.729 25.729
Yield MT/HA 2.408 2.442 2.673 2.673
TOTAL FOREIGN
Production MIL. MT 477.986 520.816 531.879 534.280
Area MIL. HA 194.762 205.434 203.028 203.339
Yield MT/HA 2.454 2.535 2.620 2.628
ARGENTINA
Production MIL. MT 8.600 16.100 12.700 12.700
Area MIL. HA 4.500 7.000 5.800 5.800
Yield MT/HA 1.911 2.300 2.190 2.190
AUSTRALIA
Production MIL. MT 16.504 23.586 17.000 17.500
Area MIL. HA 9.721 11.327 10.800 10.800
Yield MT/HA 1.698 2.082 1.574 1.620
CANADA
Production MIL. MT 25.037 29.801 23.500 23.500
Area MIL. HA 11.141 12.262 11.400 11.400
Yield MT/HA 2.247 2.430 2.061 2.061
EU-15
Production MIL. MT 86.161 99.042 95.750 95.750
Area MIL. HA 16.161 16.802 17.076 17.076
Yield MT/HA 5.331 5.895 5.607 5.607
FSU-12
Production MIL. MT 59.320 62.944 77.720 79.220
Area MIL. HA 45.358 47.790 47.605 47.605
Yield MT/HA 1.308 1.317 1.633 1.664
EASTERN EUROPE
Production MIL. MT 34.970 26.300 34.750 34.550
Area MIL. HA 9.710 8.689 9.855 9.855
Yield MT/HA 3.601 3.027 3.526 3.506
CHINA
Production MIL. MT 102.215 110.570 121.000 121.000
Area MIL. HA 28.860 29.610 30.000 30.000
Yield MT/HA 3.542 3.734 4.033 4.033
INDIA
Production MIL. MT 65.470 62.620 68.700 68.700
Area MIL. HA 25.600 25.100 25.900 25.900
Yield MT/HA 2.557 2.495 2.653 2.653
PAKISTAN
Production MIL. MT 17.002 16.907 17.000 17.000
Area MIL. HA 8.170 8.376 8.100 8.100
Yield MT/HA 2.081 2.019 2.099 2.099
TURKEY
Production MIL. MT 15.500 16.000 16.000 16.000
Area MIL. HA 8.550 8.450 8.500 8.500
Yield MT/HA 1.813 1.893 1.882 1.882
MEXICO
Production MIL. MT 3.460 3.375 3.800 3.800
Area MIL. HA 0.870 0.809 0.919 0.919
Yield MT/HA 3.977 4.172 4.135 4.135
OTHER W. EUROPE
Production MIL. MT 0.946 0.928 0.910 0.868
Area MIL. HA 0.167 0.161 0.160 0.158
Yield MT/HA 5.665 5.764 5.688 5.494
==================================================================
November 10, 1997 Timothy Rocke, Grains Chairperson, PECAD
CORN : World Production Estimates
1995/96 - 1996/97 and Forecast 1997/98
Production, Area, and Yield for Selected Producers
------------------------------------------------------------------
| | |PRELIMINARY |1997/98 FORECAST
PRODUCER | UNIT | 1995/96 | 1996/97 |Oct.10 Nov.10
------------------------------------------------------------------
WORLD
Production MIL. MT 515.489 590.091 570.399 569.038
Area MIL. HA 134.197 141.116 140.820 140.455
Yield MT/HA 3.841 4.182 4.051 4.051
UNITED STATES
Production MIL. MT 187.305 236.064 236.528 237.742
Area MIL. HA 26.303 29.602 29.967 29.967
Yield MT/HA 7.121 7.975 7.893 7.933
TOTAL FOREIGN
Production MIL. MT 328.184 354.027 333.871 331.296
Area MIL. HA 107.894 111.514 110.853 110.488
Yield MT/HA 3.042 3.175 3.012 2.998
ARGENTINA
Production MIL. MT 11.100 14.700 13.000 13.000
Area MIL. HA 2.700 3.225 3.000 3.000
Yield MT/HA 4.111 4.558 4.333 4.333
SOUTH AFRICA
Production MIL. MT 10.200 9.012 8.500 8.500
Area MIL. HA 3.300 3.360 3.200 3.200
Yield MT/HA 3.091 2.682 2.656 2.656
THAILAND
Production MIL. MT 3.700 3.900 3.200 3.300
Area MIL. HA 1.140 1.200 1.150 1.030
Yield MT/HA 3.246 3.250 2.783 3.204
EASTERN EUROPE
Production MIL. MT 24.771 25.315 28.525 28.675
Area MIL. HA 6.849 7.023 6.830 6.880
Yield MT/HA 3.617 3.605 4.176 4.168
EU-15
Production MIL. MT 29.224 34.754 36.425 36.425
Area MIL. HA 3.732 4.092 4.230 4.240
Yield MT/HA 7.831 8.493 8.611 8.591
FSU-12
Production MIL. MT 7.010 4.824 7.735 7.065
Area MIL. HA 2.465 2.136 2.753 2.753
Yield MT/HA 2.844 2.258 2.810 2.566
MEXICO
Production MIL. MT 17.780 19.500 19.500 19.000
Area MIL. HA 7.800 8.200 8.500 8.500
Yield MT/HA 2.279 2.378 2.294 2.235
CHINA
Production MIL. MT 112.000 127.470 105.000 105.000
Area MIL. HA 22.767 24.498 23.500 23.500
Yield MT/HA 4.919 5.203 4.468 4.468
BRAZIL
Production MIL. MT 32.480 36.160 34.000 33.000
Area MIL. HA 13.767 13.877 13.600 13.200
Yield MT/HA 2.359 2.606 2.500 2.500
PHILIPPINES
Production MIL. MT 4.324 4.250 4.200 4.200
Area MIL. HA 2.760 2.730 2.700 2.700
Yield MT/HA 1.567 1.557 1.556 1.556
INDONESIA
Production MIL. MT 6.000 6.500 7.000 6.500
Area MIL. HA 3.531 3.550 3.580 3.500
Yield MT/HA 1.699 1.831 1.955 1.857
CANADA
Production MIL. MT 7.271 7.380 6.900 6.900
Area MIL. HA 1.003 1.058 1.050 1.050
Yield MT/HA 7.249 6.975 6.571 6.571
==================================================================
November 10, 1997 Timothy Rocke, Grains Chairperson, PECAD
SOYBEANS : World Production Estimates
1995/96 - 1996/97 and Forecast 1997/98
Production, Area, and Yield for Selected Producers
------------------------------------------------------------------
| | |PRELIMINARY|1997/98 FORECAST
PRODUCER | UNIT | 1995/96 | 1996/97 |Oct.10 Nov.10
------------------------------------------------------------------
WORLD
Production MIL. MT 124.959 131.174 147.242 149.167
Area MIL. HA 61.712 63.232 68.074 68.925
Yield MT/HA 2.025 2.074 2.163 2.164
UNITED STATES
Production MIL. MT 59.243 64.837 74.077 74.465
Area MIL. HA 24.938 25.661 28.254 28.254
Yield MT/HA 2.376 2.527 2.622 2.636
TOTAL FOREIGN
Production MIL. MT 65.716 66.337 73.165 74.702
Area MIL. HA 36.774 37.571 39.820 40.671
Yield MT/HA 1.787 1.766 1.837 1.837
ARGENTINA
Production MIL. MT 12.430 11.200 14.200 14.500
Area MIL. HA 5.980 6.200 6.500 6.600
Yield MT/HA 2.079 1.806 2.185 2.197
BRAZIL
Production MIL. MT 24.150 26.500 28.000 29.000
Area MIL. HA 10.950 11.800 12.600 12.800
Yield MT/HA 2.205 2.246 2.222 2.266
PARAGUAY
Production MIL. MT 2.400 2.600 2.700 2.800
Area MIL. HA 1.100 1.200 1.250 1.300
Yield MT/HA 2.182 2.167 2.160 2.154
CHINA
Production MIL. MT 13.500 13.220 13.500 13.500
Area MIL. HA 8.127 7.470 8.200 8.200
Yield MT/HA 1.661 1.770 1.646 1.646
INDONESIA
Production MIL. MT 1.517 1.510 1.500 1.450
Area MIL. HA 1.280 1.255 1.300 1.200
Yield MT/HA 1.185 1.203 1.154 1.208
EASTERN EUROPE
Production MIL. MT 0.288 0.344 0.306 0.306
Area MIL. HA 0.166 0.201 0.174 0.174
Yield MT/HA 1.735 1.711 1.759 1.759
EU-15
Production MIL. MT 0.939 1.153 1.442 1.442
Area MIL. HA 0.291 0.335 0.428 0.428
Yield MT/HA 3.227 3.442 3.369 3.369
CANADA
Production MIL. MT 2.293 2.165 2.700 2.700
Area MIL. HA 0.824 0.860 1.050 1.050
Yield MT/HA 2.783 2.517 2.571 2.571
==================================================================
November 10, 1997 Paul Provance, Oilseeds Chairperson, PECAD
COTTON : World Production Estimates
1995/96 - 1996/97 and Forecast 1997/98
Production, Area, and Yield for Selected Producers
------------------------------------------------------------------
| | |PRELIMINARY |1997/98 FORECAST
PRODUCER | UNIT | 1995/96 | 1996/97 |Oct.10 Nov.10
------------------------------------------------------------------
WORLD
Production MIL. BALES 92.982 89.122 89.866 90.174
Area MIL. HA 35.933 33.820 34.088 33.978
Yield KG/HA 563.400 573.750 573.991 577.823
UNITED STATES
Production MIL. BALES 17.900 18.942 18.410 18.848
Area MIL. HA 6.478 5.208 5.438 5.438
Yield KG/HA 602.000 792.000 737.000 755.000
TOTAL FOREIGN
Production MIL. BALES 75.082 70.180 71.456 71.326
Area MIL. HA 29.455 28.612 28.650 28.540
Yield KG/HA 555.000 534.000 543.000 544.000
AUSTRALIA
Production MIL. BALES 1.970 2.788 2.800 2.900
Area MIL. HA 0.301 0.395 0.420 0.430
Yield KG/HA 1425.000 1537.000 1452.000 1468.000
CENTRAL AMERICA
Production MIL. BALES 0.065 0.029 0.024 0.024
Area MIL. HA 0.019 0.011 0.010 0.010
Yield KG/HA 745.000 574.000 523.000 523.000
EGYPT
Production MIL. BALES 1.088 1.568 1.600 1.600
Area MIL. HA 0.306 0.387 0.370 0.370
Yield KG/HA 774.000 882.000 942.000 942.000
MEXICO
Production MIL. BALES 0.974 1.077 0.800 0.800
Area MIL. HA 0.318 0.246 0.200 0.200
Yield KG/HA 667.000 953.000 871.000 871.000
PAKISTAN
Production MIL. BALES 8.200 7.300 8.000 7.700
Area MIL. HA 3.048 3.200 3.200 3.200
Yield KG/HA 586.000 497.000 544.000 524.000
SUDAN
Production MIL. BALES 0.490 0.450 0.500 0.500
Area MIL. HA 0.220 0.230 0.260 0.260
Yield KG/HA 485.000 426.000 419.000 419.000
TURKEY
Production MIL. BALES 3.911 3.600 3.500 3.300
Area MIL. HA 0.757 0.744 0.750 0.700
Yield KG/HA 1125.000 1054.000 1016.000 1026.000
FSU-12
Production MIL. BALES 8.260 6.500 8.000 7.600
Area MIL. HA 2.573 2.545 2.630 2.605
Yield KG/HA 699.000 556.000 662.000 635.000
ARGENTINA
Production MIL. BALES 1.929 1.493 2.100 2.100
Area MIL. HA 0.960 0.880 1.000 1.000
Yield KG/HA 437.000 369.000 457.000 457.000
BRAZIL
Production MIL. BALES 1.791 1.300 1.750 1.750
Area MIL. HA 1.130 0.695 0.900 0.900
Yield KG/HA 345.000 407.000 423.000 423.000
CHINA
Production MIL. BALES 21.900 19.300 17.500 18.000
Area MIL. HA 5.422 4.722 4.500 4.500
Yield KG/HA 879.000 890.000 847.000 871.000
INDIA
Production MIL. BALES 13.250 13.781 13.100 12.900
Area MIL. HA 9.063 9.166 9.000 9.000
Yield KG/HA 318.000 327.000 317.000 312.000
==================================================================
November 10, 1997 Ron Roberson, Cotton Chairperson, PECAD
RICE (Milled Basis) : World Production Estimates
1995/96 - 1996/97 and Forecast 1997/98
Production, Area, and Yield for Selected Producers
------------------------------------------------------------------
| | |PRELIMINARY |1997/98 FORECAST
PRODUCER | UNIT | 1995/96 | 1996/97 |Oct.10 Nov.10
------------------------------------------------------------------
WORLD
Production MIL. MT 371.521 378.989 380.890 381.945
Area MIL. HA 147.905 148.635 148.905 148.530
Yield MT/HA 2.512 2.550 2.558 2.572
UNITED STATES
Production MIL. MT 5.631 5.595 5.858 5.878
Area MIL. HA 1.252 1.133 1.229 1.229
Yield MT/HA 4.498 4.938 4.766 4.783
TOTAL FOREIGN
Production MIL. MT 365.890 373.394 375.032 376.067
Area MIL. HA 146.653 147.502 147.676 147.301
Yield MT/HA 2.495 2.531 2.540 2.553
PAKISTAN
Production MIL. MT 3.936 4.260 4.300 4.300
Area MIL. HA 2.162 2.230 2.200 2.200
Yield MT/HA 1.821 1.910 1.955 1.955
BURMA
Production MIL. MT 9.860 9.000 9.600 9.600
Area MIL. HA 5.666 5.600 5.650 5.650
Yield MT/HA 1.740 1.607 1.699 1.699
THAILAND
Production MIL. MT 14.388 13.700 14.000 14.000
Area MIL. HA 9.032 9.175 9.200 9.200
Yield MT/HA 1.593 1.493 1.522 1.522
CHINA
Production MIL. MT 129.650 136.570 136.000 137.000
Area MIL. HA 30.745 31.406 31.400 31.400
Yield MT/HA 4.217 4.349 4.331 4.363
INDONESIA
Production MIL. MT 33.215 32.000 33.300 33.300
Area MIL. HA 11.570 11.300 11.500 11.500
Yield MT/HA 2.871 2.832 2.896 2.896
REP. OF KOREA
Production MIL. MT 4.694 5.320 4.900 4.900
Area MIL. HA 1.056 1.050 1.050 1.050
Yield MT/HA 4.445 5.067 4.667 4.667
JAPAN
Production MIL. MT 9.781 9.413 9.000 9.000
Area MIL. HA 2.118 1.977 1.960 1.960
Yield MT/HA 4.618 4.761 4.592 4.592
BRAZIL
Production MIL. MT 6.834 6.628 6.500 6.500
Area MIL. HA 3.880 3.570 3.550 3.550
Yield MT/HA 1.761 1.857 1.831 1.831
AUSTRALIA
Production MIL. MT 0.680 1.006 0.850 0.850
Area MIL. HA 0.149 0.166 0.160 0.140
Yield MT/HA 4.564 6.060 5.313 6.071
PHILIPPINES
Production MIL. MT 7.263 7.300 7.300 7.300
Area MIL. HA 3.924 3.900 3.900 3.900
Yield MT/HA 1.851 1.872 1.872 1.872
INDIA
Production MIL. MT 79.620 80.540 81.500 81.500
Area MIL. HA 42.300 42.700 42.200 42.200
Yield MT/HA 1.882 1.886 1.931 1.931
BANGLADESH
Production MIL. MT 17.687 18.420 18.500 18.500
Area MIL. HA 9.941 10.030 10.000 10.000
Yield MT/HA 1.779 1.836 1.850 1.850
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November 10, 1997 Timothy Rocke, Grains Chairperson, PECAD
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