July 1997
This report draws on information from USDA's global network of agricultural attaches and counselors, official statistics of foreign governments, other foreign source materials, and results of office analysis. Estimates of U.S. acreage, yield and production are from the USDA Agricultural Statistics Board, except where noted. This report is based on unrounded data; numbers may not add to totals because of rounding. The report reflects official USDA estimates released in the World Agricultural Supply Estimates (WASDE-328) July 11, 1997.
The report was prepared by the Production Estimates and Crop Assessment Division, FAS, AGSTOP 1045, 14th Independence Ave., Washington, DC 20250-1045. Further information may be obtained by writing to the division, or by calling (202) 720-0888, 9516, or by FAX (202) 720-8880.
The report was prepared by the Production Estimates and Crop Assessment Division, FAS, AGBOX 1045, 14th and Independence Ave., Washington, DC 20250-1000. Further information may be obtained by writing to the division, or by calling (202) 720-0888, 9516, or by FAX (202) 720-8880.
The next issue of World Agricultural Production, Part 1, will be available electronically after 3:30 pm local time on August 13, 1997.
UNITED STATES: Significant rain soaked the northern Plains and upper Midwest, benefiting reproductive spring wheat and summer crops. Winter wheat harvesting progressed in the Great Plains and began in the Ohio Valley, despite occasional rain. Seasonably hot weather across the South provided generally favorable growing and harvest conditions. Corn is approaching reproduction across the Corn Belt in mostly good condition. Cotton development still lagged behind normal in the Delta but recent warmer weather helped growth. While unseasonably cool weather prevailed recently in the Great Basin, hot weather increased crop stress in California.
CANADA: In late June, a favorable shift in the jet stream over the Prairies brought beneficial showers to southern crop areas and needed drier weather to Alberta. The moisture across the south was timely for spring grain and oilseed reproduction, although a few dry pockets persisted in the southeast. Farther north, the dryness aided crop development and favored activities such as spraying.
SOUTH AMERICA: Above normal June rainfall boosted soil moisture for germinating winter wheat across most of central Argentina. However, dryness is delaying planting in Cordoba and Santa Fe. Near to above normal June rainfall favored vegetative winter wheat across southern Brazil. Above normal rainfall also slowed coffee and citrus harvesting in Sao Paulo and Minas Gerais, Brazil.
EUROPE: Cool, wet weather in England, France, the Netherlands, Belgium, and Germany provided abundant moisture for winter grains and spring-sown crops but increased the potential for lodging and diseases. Recent drier weather aided winter grain harvesting in France. Recent heavy rain in the Czech Republic, southwestern Poland, and western Slovakia caused localized flooding and some crop damage. Unrelenting heat accompanied below-normal rainfall in the southeast, hastening maturity in winter grains and stressing summer crops.
FSU-WESTERN: Frequent showers and mild weather in June benefitted winter grains and spring-sown crops in Russia, Ukraine, Belarus, and the Baltics. Recently, showers and thunderstorms in Ukraine and North Caucasus, Russia benefitted summer crops but likely interrupted winter grain harvesting and caused some crop lodging.
FSU-NEWLANDS: In Russia, adequate moisture and mild weather favored spring grain development in the Urals and western areas in Siberia while farther east in Altay Kray, dryness and periodic hot weather increased stress on crops. In Kazakstan, recent soaking rain was timely for spring grains in or nearing reproduction.
SOUTH ASIA: After a sluggish start, the southwest monsoon strengthened, bringing adequate to abundant rains to most major crop areas by early July. The exceptions were crop areas of Pakistan and northern India which have not yet been reached by the monsoon. Coarse grain, oilseed, cotton, and rice planting are underway, and will continue through the end of July.
EASTERN ASIA: Below normal June rainfall and periodic hot weather stressed rainfed corn, soybeans, and cotton across the North China Plain. Consistent July rains are needed in this region as summer crops enter reproduction. Near to above normal June rainfall favored crops across the rest of China, South Korea and Japan. Portions of North Korea received below normal monthly rainfall.
SOUTHEAST ASIA: In central Thailand, below normal June rainfall stressed rainfed corn and rice. However, irrigation supplies should be adequate in that region. Near normal monthly showers favored rice in eastern Thailand. Seasonable showers continued to favor rice across Vietnam. In Java, below normal June rainfall aided main-season rice harvesting, as fieldwork neared completion. Below normal rainfall returned to the Philippines, reducing moisture for main-season crops. Above normal rainfall aided oil palm across the most of peninsular Malaysia, but northern areas still need additional rain.
AUSTRALIA: Chronic dryness in the southeastern winter grain belts, coupled with the current El Ni¤o situation, is raising concern for crop yield potential in sections of eastern Australia. However, subsoil moisture reserves are generally favorable in Queensland and northern New South Wales, and crop prospects are very good in Western Australia. Winter grains are in or approaching semi-dormancy, with reproduction not occurring until September in most areas.
(More details are available in the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. USDA/Joint Agricultural Weather Facility)
July 1997
-------------1997/98------------- CHANGE
CURRENT MONTHLY MONTHLY FROM
COUNTRY ESTIMATE CHANGE CHANGE 1996/97
MMT MMT PERCENT PERCENT
World 586.8 +8.0 +1 +1
Production is estimated higher due to increases in the United States and
the total foreign category.
United States 66.2 +3.5 +6 +7
Production is estimated higher due to increased winter wheat area and
yields.
Total Foreign 520.7 +4.6 +1 -0
Production is forecast higher due to increases in India, Russia, Pakistan,
the EU-15, Uzbekistan, and Yugoslavia which more than offset declines in
Romania, Argentina, and Canada.
India 67.0 +2.5 +4 +7
Production is forecast higher based on better-than-expected yields in the
major producing states.
Russia 36.0 +1.0 +3 +3
Production is forecast higher due to an increase in area as reported by
Russian officials.
Pakistan 17.0 +1.0 +6 +1
Production is forecast higher due to cool, wet weather late in the season
which improved yield.
EU-15 98.6 +0.7 +1 -0
Production is forecast higher based on increases in France, Portugal, and
Spain which more than offset a reduction in Italy.
Uzbekistan 3.0 +0.5 +20 +11
Production is forecast higher due to increased yield prospects.
Yugoslavia 4.2 +0.2 +5 +31
Production is forecast higher due to favorable growing conditions in
Serbia.
Romania 7.0 -0.5 -7 +121
Production is forecast lower due to a reduction in yields caused by heavy
late-season rainfall.
Canada 25.5 -0.5 -2 -16
Production is forecast lower resulting from adverse weather which reduced
area.
Argentina 13.5 -0.5 -4 -16
Production is forecast lower due to unfavorable weather at planting.
World 898.2 -0.8 -0 -0
Production is forecast lower this month due to a decline in the United
States which more than offset an increase in the total foreign category.
United States 273.7 -4.7 -2 +2
Production is forecast lower due to a reduction in area as published in
the June 30 NASS Acreage report.
Total Foreign 624.5 +3.9 +1 -2
Production is forecast higher due to increases in the EU-15 and Russia
which more than offset a decline in Canada.
EU-15 104.5 +2.5 +2 +1
Production is forecast higher due to increased barley and sorghum area in
France and barley area and yield in Spain.
Russia 32.4 +1.5 +5 +2
Production is forecast higher due to increased area projected for barley,
oats, and rye.
Canada 26.2 -0.6 -2 -8
Production is forecast lower due to reduced area for barley and oats as
reported by Statistics Canada.
World 379.4 +2.1 +1 -1
Production is forecast higher for 1997/98 due to increases in the United
States and the total foreign category.
United States 5.8 +0.5 +8 +3
Production is forecast higher due to a large increase in area as
reported in the June 30 NASS Acreage report.
Total Foreign 373.6 +1.6 +0 -1
Production is forecast higher primarily due to increases in Burma,
Thailand, India, Philippines, and Pakistan which more than offset
reductions in South Korea, Japan, and China.
Burma 9.6 NA NA +3
Production is forecast higher as producers expand the use of irrigation.
Thailand 14.2 NA NA +2
Production is forecast higher due to area expansion. Yield is forecast
near the 5-year average.
India 81.0 NA NA +1
Production is forecast higher based on increased area and higher-than-
average yield. Portions of the rice growing areas have received below-
normal rainfall.
Philippines 7.6 NA NA +1
Production is forecast up from last season's level due to an increase in
area.
Pakistan 4.3 NA NA +1
Production is forecast higher as improved yield more than offset a
decrease in area.
Indonesia 33.5 NA NA NC
Production is forecast unchanged from last year.
Bangladesh 18.5 NA NA NC
Production is forecast virtually unchanged from 1996/97.
Vietnam 18.0 NA NA NC
Production is forecast virtually unchanged from last year's record as
area is forecast to increase, offsetting a decline in yield.
South Korea 4.9 NA NA -8
Production is forecast lower due to a reduction in area and yield.
Japan 9.0 NA NA -4
Production is forecast lower as area and yield are reduced from last
season's level.
China 134.0 NA NA -2
Production is forecast lower due to a decline in area which more than
offset higher yield.
World 275.3 +2.3 +1 +7
Production is forecast higher for 1997/98 due to increases in the United
States which more than offset a reduction in the total foreign category.
U.S. 83.2 +2.4 +3 +11
Production is forecast higher primarily due to an increase in soybeans
as projected yields and area are up from last year.
Total Foreign 192.1 -0.2 -0 +5
Production is forecast lower for 1997/98. Reductions in projected
oilseed output primarily in Eastern Europe, India, and China more than
offset increases in Brazil, Argentina, Paraguay, the EU-15, Russia,
Ukraine, and Uzbekistan.
Eastern Europe 4.2 NA NA -10
Production is estimated lower based on declines in Romania, Yugoslavia,
Hungary, and Poland. A weather-reduced grain crop in 1996/97 resulted
in area being shifted away from oilseed production in 1997/98.
India 25.4 NA NA -1
Production is estimated lower due to reduced projections for cottonseed,
peanuts, and rapeseed which more than offset an increase for soybeans.
China 41.7 NA NA -0
Production is forecast virtually unchanged from 1996/97. Projected
declines in cottonseed, peanut, and sunflowerseed production offset an
increase in soybean output.
Ukraine 2.8 NA NA +33
Production is estimated higher largely due to an increase in
sunflowerseed output following a drought-reduced 1996/97 crop.
Canada 9.1 NA NA +25
Production is estimated higher due to increased rapeseed and soybean
output projections. Weaker world grain prices partially explain
farmers' shifting to oilseeds.
Argentina 20.3 NA NA +16
Production is forecast higher resulting in increased projections for
soybean area and yield following the drought-reduced 1996/97 crop.
Uzbekistan 2.4 NA NA +16
Production is estimated higher resulting from an increase in projected
cottonseed output.
EU-15 13.8 NA NA +8
Production is estimated higher based mostly on increased rapeseed and
soybean output. Reduced set-aside requirements, a less severe winter
for German rapeseed, and expanded soybean area in Italy are reasons for
the increase.
Paraguay 2.9 NA NA +7
Production is forecast higher due to increased soybean area.
Brazil 28.7 NA NA +6
Production is forecast higher based largely on increased soybean area
which offset a decline in yield.
Russia 3.5 NA NA +6
Production is estimated higher largely due to an increase in
sunflowerseed yield.
PALM OIL
World 17.4 NA NA +4
Production is forecast at a record. Malaysian output is forecast at a
record 8.8 million tons, up 0.1 million from 1996/97. Indonesian output
is forecast at a record 5.4 million tons, up 0.5 million from the year
earlier as oil-palm area continues to expand.
------------1997/98-------------- CHANGE
CURRENT MONTHLY MONTHLY FROM
COUNTRY ESTIMATE CHANGE CHANGE 1996/97
MBALES MBALES PERCENT PERCENT
World Total 86.9 -0.6 -1 -1
Production is forecast lower for 1997/98 due to reductions in the United
States and the total foreign category.
United States 18.0 -0.5 -3 -5
Production is forecast lower reflecting a reduction in area as reported in
the June 30 NASS Acreage report.
Total Foreign 68.9 -0.1 -0 -0
Production is forecast down slightly from last season due to a small
decline in area reflecting higher domestic prices for competing crops in
some major cotton-producing countries.
China 17.0 NA NA -12
Production is estimated lower due to the potential impact of reduced
returns from cotton. Input costs and the risk associated with cotton
production continues to increase faster than for competing crops.
Egypt 1.5 NA NA -9
Production is estimated lower as area is down 12 percent from last year.
Farmers have switched to more profitable crops such as rice and wheat.
India 12.0 NA NA -6
Production is estimated lower due to an expansion in area for competing
crops, especially rice, oilseeds, tobacco, and chillies--particularly
among farmers in the northern and southern growing areas.
Argentina 1.9 NA NA +30
Production is forecast higher due to a projected increase in yield.
Production is estimated to increase based on a more-normal weather pattern
than last season.
Brazil 1.6 NA NA +23
Production is estimated up due to increased area in the Center-South as
farmers respond to the current strong cotton prices and state incentives
to plant more cotton.
Uzbekistan 5.6 NA NA +18
Production is forecast higher due to a return to average yield after last
year's weather-reduced output.
Turkmenistan 0.7 NA NA +17
Production is forecast higher due to a increase in area as the Government
offers growers incentives in the form of land privatization.
Pakistan 7.7 NA NA +5
Production is estimated higher as yield potential remains high due to the
continued use of disease resistant varieties introduced last year.
Turkey 3.5 NA NA +2
Production is estimated higher than last season as a return to a more
normal production season is anticipated. Last year, yield was reduced by
unusual, heavy rains during the harvest period.
Australia 2.8 NA NA +0
Production is forecast virtually the same as last year. A slight increase
in area will offset an anticipated lower yield as more dry-land cotton is
planted.
WHEAT : World Production Estimates
1995/96 - 1996/97 and Forecast 1997/98
Production, Area, and Yield for Selected Producers
------------------------------------------------------------------
| | |PRELIMINARY| 1997/98 FORECAST
PRODUCER | UNIT | 1995/96 | 1996/97 | Jun. 12 Jul. 11
------------------------------------------------------------------
WORLD
Production MIL. MT 537.935 582.963 578.817 586.828
Area MIL. HA 219.633 230.923 227.866 229.509
Yield MT/HA 2.449 2.524 2.540 2.557
UNITED STATES
Production MIL. MT 59.400 62.099 62.693 66.154
Area MIL. HA 24.664 25.435 24.685 25.696
Yield MT/HA 2.408 2.441 2.540 2.574
TOTAL FOREIGN
Production MIL. MT 478.535 520.864 516.124 520.674
Area MIL. HA 194.969 205.488 203.181 203.813
Yield MT/HA 2.454 2.535 2.540 2.555
ARGENTINA
Production MIL. MT 9.200 16.100 14.000 13.500
Area MIL. HA 4.781 7.000 6.300 6.200
Yield MT/HA 1.924 2.300 2.222 2.177
AUSTRALIA
Production MIL. MT 16.504 23.586 18.500 18.500
Area MIL. HA 9.721 11.327 11.000 11.000
Yield MT/HA 1.698 2.082 1.682 1.682
CANADA
Production MIL. MT 25.037 30.500 26.000 25.500
Area MIL. HA 11.141 12.650 11.700 11.400
Yield MT/HA 2.247 2.411 2.222 2.237
EU-15
Production MIL. MT 86.161 99.000 97.850 98.550
Area MIL. HA 16.161 16.802 17.275 17.255
Yield MT/HA 5.331 5.892 5.664 5.711
FSU-12
Production MIL. MT 59.320 62.944 68.170 69.720
Area MIL. HA 45.358 47.790 47.605 48.305
Yield MT/HA 1.308 1.317 1.432 1.443
EASTERN EUROPE
Production MIL. MT 34.970 26.300 33.700 33.400
Area MIL. HA 9.710 8.689 9.610 9.710
Yield MT/HA 3.601 3.027 3.507 3.440
CHINA
Production MIL. MT 102.215 110.300 114.000 114.000
Area MIL. HA 28.860 29.558 30.000 30.000
Yield MT/HA 3.542 3.732 3.800 3.800
INDIA
Production MIL. MT 65.470 62.620 64.500 67.000
Area MIL. HA 25.600 25.100 25.400 25.400
Yield MT/HA 2.557 2.495 2.539 2.638
PAKISTAN
Production MIL. MT 17.002 16.907 16.000 17.000
Area MIL. HA 8.170 8.376 8.100 8.100
Yield MT/HA 2.081 2.019 1.975 2.099
TURKEY
Production MIL. MT 15.500 16.000 16.000 16.000
Area MIL. HA 8.550 8.450 8.500 8.500
Yield MT/HA 1.813 1.893 1.882 1.882
MEXICO
Production MIL. MT 3.460 3.200 3.400 3.400
Area MIL. HA 0.870 0.800 0.850 0.850
Yield MT/HA 3.977 4.000 4.000 4.000
OTHER W. EUROPE
Production MIL. MT 0.960 0.995 1.000 1.000
Area MIL. HA 0.168 0.168 0.163 0.163
Yield MT/HA 5.714 5.923 6.135 6.135
==================================================================
July 14, 1997 Timothy Rocke, Grains Chairperson, PECAD
CORN : World Production Estimates
1995/96 - 1996/97 and Forecast 1997/98
Production, Area, and Yield for Selected Producers
------------------------------------------------------------------
| | |PRELIMINARY| 1997/98 FORECAST
PRODUCER | UNIT | 1995/96 | 1996/97 | Jun. 12 Jul. 11
------------------------------------------------------------------
WORLD
Production MIL. MT 515.944 589.653 598.695 595.263
Area MIL. HA 134.371 141.447 141.701 141.505
Yield MT/HA 3.840 4.169 4.225 4.207
UNITED STATES
Production MIL. MT 187.305 236.064 249.948 246.391
Area MIL. HA 26.303 29.602 30.401 29.955
Yield MT/HA 7.121 7.975 8.222 8.225
TOTAL FOREIGN
Production MIL. MT 328.639 353.589 348.747 348.872
Area MIL. HA 108.068 111.845 111.300 111.550
Yield MT/HA 3.041 3.161 3.133 3.127
ARGENTINA
Production MIL. MT 11.100 14.500 13.000 13.000
Area MIL. HA 2.700 3.300 3.000 3.000
Yield MT/HA 4.111 4.394 4.333 4.333
SOUTH AFRICA
Production MIL. MT 10.200 8.300 8.500 8.500
Area MIL. HA 3.300 3.360 3.200 3.200
Yield MT/HA 3.091 2.470 2.656 2.656
THAILAND
Production MIL. MT 3.700 4.000 4.000 4.000
Area MIL. HA 1.140 1.200 1.150 1.150
Yield MT/HA 3.246 3.333 3.478 3.478
EASTERN EUROPE
Production MIL. MT 25.371 25.715 24.800 24.825
Area MIL. HA 6.949 7.023 6.825 6.830
Yield MT/HA 3.651 3.662 3.634 3.635
EU-15
Production MIL. MT 29.224 34.625 34.725 35.225
Area MIL. HA 3.732 4.091 4.160 4.230
Yield MT/HA 7.831 8.464 8.347 8.327
FSU-12
Production MIL. MT 7.010 4.824 7.335 7.335
Area MIL. HA 2.465 2.136 2.753 2.753
Yield MT/HA 2.844 2.258 2.664 2.664
MEXICO
Production MIL. MT 17.780 19.000 19.500 19.500
Area MIL. HA 7.800 8.200 8.500 8.500
Yield MT/HA 2.279 2.317 2.294 2.294
CHINA
Production MIL. MT 112.000 127.460 122.000 122.000
Area MIL. HA 22.767 24.495 23.500 23.500
Yield MT/HA 4.919 5.204 5.191 5.191
BRAZIL
Production MIL. MT 32.480 37.000 35.000 35.000
Area MIL. HA 13.767 14.200 14.000 14.000
Yield MT/HA 2.359 2.606 2.500 2.500
PHILIPPINES
Production MIL. MT 4.324 4.250 4.200 4.200
Area MIL. HA 2.760 2.730 2.700 2.700
Yield MT/HA 1.567 1.557 1.556 1.556
INDONESIA
Production MIL. MT 6.000 6.600 7.000 7.000
Area MIL. HA 3.531 3.550 3.580 3.580
Yield MT/HA 1.699 1.859 1.955 1.955
CANADA
Production MIL. MT 7.271 7.200 8.000 7.500
Area MIL. HA 1.003 1.040 1.125 1.050
Yield MT/HA 7.249 6.923 7.111 7.143
==================================================================
July 14, 1997 Timothy Rocke, Grains Chairperson, PECAD
SOYBEANS : World Production Estimates
1995/96 - 1996/97 and Forecast 1997/98
Production, Area, and Yield for Selected Producers
------------------------------------------------------------------
| | |PRELIMINARY| 1997/98 FORECAST
PRODUCER | UNIT | 1995/96 | 1996/97 | Jul. 11
------------------------------------------------------------------
WORLD
Production MIL. MT 124.440 131.713 146.705
Area MIL. HA 61.278 63.064 67.895
Yield MT/HA 2.031 2.089 2.161
UNITED STATES
Production MIL. MT 59.243 64.837 73.210
Area MIL. HA 24.938 25.661 28.260
Yield MT/HA 2.376 2.527 2.591
TOTAL FOREIGN
Production MIL. MT 65.197 66.876 73.495
Area MIL. HA 36.340 37.403 39.635
Yield MT/HA 1.794 1.788 1.854
ARGENTINA
Production MIL. MT 12.430 11.500 13.900
Area MIL. HA 5.980 6.200 6.300
Yield MT/HA 2.079 1.855 2.206
BRAZIL
Production MIL. MT 23.700 26.500 28.000
Area MIL. HA 10.950 11.800 12.600
Yield MT/HA 2.164 2.246 2.222
PARAGUAY
Production MIL. MT 2.400 2.600 2.700
Area MIL. HA 1.100 1.200 1.250
Yield MT/HA 2.182 2.167 2.160
CHINA
Production MIL. MT 13.500 13.500 14.500
Area MIL. HA 8.127 7.800 8.500
Yield MT/HA 1.661 1.731 1.706
INDONESIA
Production MIL. MT 1.560 1.500 1.500
Area MIL. HA 1.346 1.300 1.300
Yield MT/HA 1.159 1.154 1.154
EASTERN EUROPE
Production MIL. MT 0.304 0.358 0.306
Area MIL. HA 0.179 0.213 0.189
Yield MT/HA 1.698 1.681 1.619
EU-15
Production MIL. MT 0.939 1.153 1.412
Area MIL. HA 0.291 0.335 0.418
Yield MT/HA 3.227 3.442 3.378
CANADA
Production MIL. MT 2.293 2.170 2.700
Area MIL. HA 0.824 0.860 1.050
Yield MT/HA 2.783 2.523 2.571
==================================================================
July 14, 1997 Rod Paschal, Oilseeds Chairperson, PECAD
COTTON : World Production Estimates
1995/96 - 1996/97 and Forecast 1997/98
Production, Area, and Yield for Selected Producers
------------------------------------------------------------------
| | |PRELIMINARY| 1997/98 FORECAST
PRODUCER | UNIT | 1995/96 | 1996/97 | Jul. 11
------------------------------------------------------------------
WORLD
Production MIL. BALES 92.409 88.053 86.911
Area MIL. HA 35.944 33.705 33.506
Yield KG/HA 560 569 565
UNITED STATES
Production MIL. BALES 17.900 18.942 18.000
Area MIL. HA 6.478 5.208 5.221
Yield KG/HA 602 792 751
TOTAL FOREIGN
Production MIL. BALES 74.509 69.111 68.911
Area MIL. HA 29.466 28.497 28.285
Yield KG/HA 551 528 530
AUSTRALIA
Production MIL. BALES 1.970 2.790 2.800
Area MIL. HA 0.301 0.409 0.420
Yield KG/HA 1,425 1,485 1,452
CENTRAL AMERICA
Production MIL. BALES 0.065 0.029 0.024
Area MIL. HA 0.019 0.011 0.010
Yield KG/HA 745 574 523
EGYPT
Production MIL. BALES 1.088 1.600 1.450
Area MIL. HA 0.306 0.387 0.340
Yield KG/HA 774 900 929
MEXICO
Production MIL. BALES 0.974 1.077 0.860
Area MIL. HA 0.318 0.246 0.200
Yield KG/HA 667 953 936
PAKISTAN
Production MIL. BALES 8.200 7.300 7.700
Area MIL. HA 3.048 3.200 3.200
Yield KG/HA 586 497 524
SUDAN
Production MIL. BALES 0.490 0.450 0.500
Area MIL. HA 0.220 0.230 0.260
Yield KG/HA 485 426 419
TURKEY
Production MIL. BALES 3.911 3.445 3.500
Area MIL. HA 0.757 0.750 0.750
Yield KG/HA 1,125 1,000 1,016
FSU-12
Production MIL. BALES 8.260 6.500 7.500
Area MIL. HA 2.573 2.545 2.630
Yield KG/HA 699 556 621
ARGENTINA
Production MIL. BALES 1.929 1.425 1.850
Area MIL. HA 0.960 0.870 0.900
Yield KG/HA 437 357 448
BRAZIL
Production MIL. BALES 1.791 1.300 1.600
Area MIL. HA 1.130 0.695 0.775
Yield KG/HA 345 407 450
CHINA
Production MIL. BALES 21.900 19.300 17.000
Area MIL. HA 5.422 4.722 4.500
Yield KG/HA 879 890 823
INDIA
Production MIL. BALES 12.649 12.800 12.000
Area MIL. HA 9.063 9.044 8.800
Yield KG/HA 304 308 297
==================================================================
July 14, 1997 Ron Roberson, Cotton Chairperson, PECAD
RICE (Milled Basis) : World Production Estimates
1995/96 - 1996/97 and Forecast 1997/98
Production, Area, and Yield for Selected Producers
------------------------------------------------------------------
| | |PRELIMINARY| 1997/98 FORECAST
PRODUCER | UNIT | 1995/96 | 1996/97 | Jul. 11
------------------------------------------------------------------
WORLD
Production MIL. MT 371.968 381.450 379.385
Area MIL. HA 148.579 149.168 149.105
Yield MT/HA 2.504 2.557 2.544
UNITED STATES
Production MIL. MT 5.631 5.595 5.748
Area MIL. HA 1.252 1.133 1.229
Yield MT/HA 4.498 4.938 4.677
TOTAL FOREIGN
Production MIL. MT 366.337 375.855 373.637
Area MIL. HA 147.327 148.035 147.876
Yield MT/HA 2.487 2.539 2.527
PAKISTAN
Production MIL. MT 3.936 4.260 4.300
Area MIL. HA 2.162 2.230 2.200
Yield MT/HA 1.821 1.910 1.955
BURMA
Production MIL. MT 9.860 9.300 9.600
Area MIL. HA 5.666 5.600 5.650
Yield MT/HA 1.740 1.661 1.699
THAILAND
Production MIL. MT 14.388 13.900 14.200
Area MIL. HA 9.032 9.200 9.350
Yield MT/HA 1.593 1.511 1.519
CHINA
Production MIL. MT 129.650 136.500 134.000
Area MIL. HA 30.745 31.406 30.700
Yield MT/HA 4.217 4.346 4.365
INDONESIA
Production MIL. MT 33.215 33.500 33.500
Area MIL. HA 11.570 11.500 11.500
Yield MT/HA 2.871 2.913 2.913
REP. OF KOREA
Production MIL. MT 4.694 5.320 4.870
Area MIL. HA 1.056 1.050 1.045
Yield MT/HA 4.445 5.067 4.660
JAPAN
Production MIL. MT 9.781 9.413 9.000
Area MIL. HA 2.118 1.977 1.960
Yield MT/HA 4.618 4.761 4.592
BRAZIL
Production MIL. MT 6.834 6.500 6.350
Area MIL. HA 3.880 3.500 3.550
Yield MT/HA 1.761 1.857 1.789
AUSTRALIA
Production MIL. MT 0.680 1.006 1.000
Area MIL. HA 0.149 0.166 0.160
Yield MT/HA 4.564 6.060 6.250
PHILIPPINES
Production MIL. MT 7.263 7.500 7.550
Area MIL. HA 3.924 4.000 4.025
Yield MT/HA 1.851 1.875 1.876
INDIA
Production MIL. MT 79.620 80.540 81.000
Area MIL. HA 42.300 42.700 42.800
Yield MT/HA 1.882 1.886 1.893
BANGLADESH
Production MIL. MT 17.687 18.500 18.500
Area MIL. HA 9.941 10.000 10.000
Yield MT/HA 1.779 1.850 1.850
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July 14, 1997 Timothy Rocke, Grains Chairperson, PECAD
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