NOVEMBER 13, 1996
This report draws on information from USDA's global network of
agricultural attaches and counselors, official statistics of
foreign governments, other foreign source materials, and results
of office analysis. Estimates of U.S. acreage, yield and
production are from the USDA Agricultural Statistics Board,
except where noted. This report is based on unrounded data;
numbers may not add to totals because of rounding. The report
reflects official USDA estimates released in the World
Agricultural Supply Estimates (WASDE-320) November 12, 1996.
The report was prepared by the Production Estimates and Crop
Assessment Division, FAS, AGBOX 1045, 14th and Independence
Ave., Washington, DC 20250-1000. Further information may be
obtained by writing to the division, or by calling (202)
720-0888, 9516, or by FAX (202) 720-8880.
The next issue of World Agricultural Production, Part 1, will be
available electronically after 3:30 pm local time on December
13, 1996.
WORLD AGRICULTURAL WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS
November 12, 1996
UNITED STATES: Corn and soybean harvesting advanced throughout
the Midwest, interrupted by periodic storminess, surges of cold
air and unusually high winds in late October. Wind gusts in the
western Corn Belt reached over 60 mph as blustery cold air
pushed into the Central States. A widespread freeze in the
Midwest aided drying of mature grains. Wet weather slowed
cotton harvesting in the lower Mississippi Valley in late
October. Moisture was generally adequate for winter wheat
emergence in the Great Plains. Early winter season
precipitation in California boosted water reservoirs but
hampered cotton harvesting.
SOUTH AMERICA: Near to above normal October rainfall eased
September dryness across central Argentina, increasing topsoil
moisture for corn and sunflower planting and winter wheat
development. Freezing temperatures stressed winter wheat in
southern Buenos Aires. In southern Brazil, widespread showers
provided ample moisture for soybean planting.
EUROPE: Near- to above-normal precipitation in October in
northern Europe slowed corn and sugar beet harvesting but
favored winter crop establishment. Below-normal precipitation
in October in France, Spain, and most of southeastern Europe
helped harvest activities. Wet weather in Italy and Greece in
mid-October interrupted corn and cotton harvesting.
FSU-WESTERN: In western areas, periods of dry weather in October
benefited corn, sugar beet, and sunflower harvests. Moisture
conditions remained adequate for winter grain establishment in
Ukraine and Russia. In Russian spring grain areas east of the
Ural mountains, bitter cold and snow in late October halted late
harvest activities, delayed by previous wetness.
NORTHWEST AFRICA: Rain is needed in Morocco, Algeria, and
Tunisia for winter grain planting. The bulk of winter grains
are typically planted in these areas from mid-November to
mid-December.
SOUTH AFRICA: Heavy rain since late October in the eastern corn
belt increase moisture for crop germination and establishment.
Through early November, many areas in the western corn belt
needed additional significant rain before planting could
commence. In the southwest, unseasonable heavy rain threatened
unharvested winter wheat.
SOUTH ASIA: A strong tropical cyclone hit southeastern India in
early November, causing wind damage and flooding in coastal rice
areas. Southern India's interior cotton, oilseed, and grain
areas were at risk of flooding and quality reductions, as the
storm marked the third heavy rain since mid-October. A weaker
tropical cyclone brought heavy rain to Bangladesh, raising
concern for maturing main-season rice. Elsewhere, seasonable
dryness aided summer crop maturation and winter grain and
oilseed harvesting.
EASTERN ASIA: Above normal October rainfall boosted soil
moisture for winter wheat germination across the North China
Plain. However, the rain slowed late summer crop harvesting.
SOUTHEAST ASIA: In Java, above normal October increased
irrigation supplies for main-season rice but slowed
second-season rice harvesting. Near to above normal rainfall
slowed rice harvesting in the Philippines and Indochina.
AUSTRALIA: Periodic showers in Queensland benefit newly sown
sorghum and cotton but hamper winter grain harvests and threaten
quality. Occasional rain in the west aids immature winter
grains but a drying trend persists in the southwest, where
immature grains could use additional moisture to sustain high
yield expectations.
(More details are available in the Weekly Weather and Crop
Bulletin. USDA/Joint Agricultural Weather Facility
PRODUCTION HIGHLIGHTS FOR 1996/97
November 1996
WHEAT
CHANGE
CURRENT MONTHLY MONTHLY FROM
COUNTRY ESTIMATE CHANGE CHANGE 1995/96
MMT MMT (PERCENT) (PERCENT)
World 579.1 -1.9 -0 +8
Production is estimated lower this month due to a decline in the
total foreign category.
United States 62.1 NC NC +5
Production is unchanged.
Total Foreign 517.0 -1.9 -0 +8
Production is forecast lower as a decrease in India more than offsets
increases in Australia and Argentina.
India 62.6 -3.4 -5 -4
Production is forecast lower due to hot temperatures in February and
March which reduced yield.
Australia 21.0 +1.0 +5 +24
Production is forecast higher primarily due to increases in yield
potential in New South Wales and Victoria.
Argentina 14.5 +0.5 +4 +58
Production is forecast higher as favorable weather improved yield
potential. Frost in southern Buenos Aires and La Pampa Provinces
appears to have had minimal affect on the crop.
COARSE GRAINS
World 883.6 10.1 +1 +11
Production is forecast higher based on larger output in both the
United States and the total foreign category.
United States 267.3 +7.0 +3 +28
Production is estimated higher based on increased yield prospects for
corn and sorghum.
Total Foreign 616.3 +3.1 +0 +5
Production is forecast higher mainly due to increases in Argentina,
Mexico, Indonesia, and Australia.
Argentina 16.4 +1.0 +6 +20
Production is forecast higher based on increased corn area. The
expansion is taking place at the expense of first crop soybeans.
Mexico 23.0 +1.0 +5 +10
Production is forecast higher for corn and sorghum resulting from
increased area during the spring/summer crop cycle.
Indonesia 6.0 +0.5 +9 -3
Production is forecast higher this month for corn, but slightly below
last year's revised estimate.
Australia 8.8 +0.4 +5 -3
Production is forecast higher as ABARE reported increases in area
and yield for barley and oats.
RICE (MILLED BASIS)
World 378.6 +2.5 +1 +2
Production is forecast higher based on increased output in the
foreign category which more than offset a decline in the United
States.
United States 5.7 -0 -1 +0
Production is estimated lower due to yield reductions in
California and Texas. Despite this decline, yield is projected at
a record 6.7 tons per hectare, surpassing the previous record set
in 1994/95.
Total Foreign 373.0 +2.6 +1 +2
Production is forecast higher as increases in China, Cambodia, and
Japan more than offset a decrease in Indonesia.
China 132.0 +2.0 +2 +2
Production is forecast higher due to initial harvest results of
the early-rice crop and favorable growing conditions for the late-rice.
Cambodia 2.2 +0.8 +57 +2
Production is forecast higher this month due to an increase in
area, fertilizer use, and irrigation. Also, the estimate for last
year's crop is revised upward.
Japan 9.4 +0.2 +2 -4
Production is forecast higher as MAFF reported a rise in the crop
index reflecting an increase in yield.
Indonesia 33.5 -0.5 -1 +2
Production is forecast lower due to a downward revision of last
season's crop. This year's main crop is currently being planted.
OILSEEDS
World 257.3 +1.0 +0 +1
Production is forecast higher based on increased output in the
United States which more than offset a decline in the total
foreign category.
United States 75.2 +1.7 +2 +9
Production is estimated higher based on increased yield
projections for soybeans and peanuts as well as increased area and
yield estimates for cottonseed.
Total Foreign 182.1 -0.7 -0 -2
Production is forecast lower due to a decrease in world cottonseed
production estimates and reduced Russian sunflowerseed output.
Pakistan 3.5 -0.2 -6 -12
Production is estimated lower based on reduced cottonseed output.
Reports of white fly, bowl worm, and aphid damage to cotton have
lowered yield prospects.
Brazil 26.7 -0.1 -0 +11
Production is estimated lower based on a reduction in cottonseed
planted area. Higher returns for other crops last season induced
farmers to switch area away from cotton production.
FSU-12 9.1 -0.7 -7 -19
Production is estimated lower based on reduced cottonseed yield in
Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan, and lower sunflowerseed yield in
Russia.
PALM OIL
World 16.4 +0.2 +1 +5
Production is forecast higher based on a revised production level
in Malaysia.
Malaysia 8.6 +0.2 +2 +4
Production is forecast higher based on higher official government
estimates for 1995/96. It is projected that output will continue
to trend higher, but at a reduced rate of increase.
COTTON
CHANGE
CURRENT MONTHLY MONTHLY FROM
COUNTRY ESTIMATE CHANGE CHANGE 1995/96
MBALES MBALES (PERCENT) (PERCENT)
World Total 87.0 -0.4 -1 -5
Production is estimated lower this month due to a decline in the
total foreign category which more than offset an increase in the
United States.
United States 18.6 +0.4 +2 +4
Production is estimated higher due to an increase in yield prospects
which more than offset a decline in area.
Total Foreign 68.4 -0.8 -1 -7
Production is forecast lower this month mainly due to declines in
output for the major foreign exporters which more than offset gains
in Australia, India, Egypt, and the African Franc Zone.
Pakistan 7.1 -0.5 -7 -13
Production is forecast lower due to reduced yield. Punjab Province,
which produces 80 to 85 percent of the crop, experienced heavy white
fly, boll worm, and aphid damage.
Brazil 1.6 -0.3 -16 -11
Production is forecast lower due to a decline in planted area.
Cotton producers are faced with high production costs, difficulty
securing new financing, high cost of credit, and lack of government
support.
Turkey 3.5 -0.2 -5 -9
Production is forecast lower due to a reduction in yield caused by
heavy rains in October and less-than-favorable harvest weather
throughout the Aegean and Southeast regions.
Greece 1.7 -0.2 -11 -18
Production is forecast lower due to yield reductions caused by
less-than-favorable harvest weather throughout the cotton growing area.
Australia 2.7 +0.3 +10 +40
Production is forecast up due to excellent early-season rains and
sufficient on-farm and reservoir irrigation supplies.
India 12.2 +0.2 +2 -0
Production is forecast up due to increased yield as the major
producing states in the northern and central zones had an excellent
monsoon season with low incidence of insects and disease.
African Franc Zone 3.5 +0.2 +7 +12
Production is forecast up due to increased yields resulting from
favorable growing and harvesting conditions.
Egypt 1.6 +0.1 +7 +47
Production is forecast up due to increased yield resulting from
favorable weather, increased area, and an effective pest control
campaign during the growing season.
EARLY RELEASE BULLETIN
WORLD CENTRIFUGAL SUGAR PRODUCTION
The 1996/97 estimate of world centrifugal sugar production has been
revised to an all-time high of 125.0 million tons (raw value), 2
percent above the previous record of 122.5 million in 1995/96 and 3
percent above the September 1996 (WAP 09-96) forecast of 121.4
million. Sugar produced from sugarcane is estimated at 88.6 million
tons, up 2 percent from a year ago. Sugar processed from sugarbeets
is estimated at 36.4 million tons, up 1 percent from last season.
The most significant production change since the September 1996
release occurred in India, up 2.0 million tons to 17.0 million.
Other major upward revisions have been made in the estimates for the
European Union, up 500,000 tons to 17.2 million; China, up 400,000
tons to 7.0 million; Brazil and Ukraine, each up 300,000 tons to 14.5
and 3.0 million tons, respectively; and Australia, up 200,000 tons
to 5.6 million.
WORLD CENTRIFUGAL SUGAR PRODUCTION
(1,000 Metric tons)
1994/95 1995/96 As of As of
9/96 11/96
Western Hemisphere
Argentina 1,180 1,590 1,400 1,320
Brazil 12,500 13,700 14,200 14,500
Colombia 2,071 2,002 2,115 2,030
Cuba 3,300 4,450 4,600 4,600
Guatemala 1,333 1,334 1,450 1,440
Mexico 4,556 4,660 4,600 4,600
United State 7,191 6,686 6,396 6,468
European Union 16,533 17,005 16,744 17,244
France 4,363 4,601 4,300 4,400
Germany 3,991 4,150 4,200 4,550
Italy 1,622 1,621 1,500 1,460
Netherlands 1,050 1,085 1,100 1,100
Spain 1,214 1,195 1,200 1,200
United Kingd 1,373 1,330 1,450 1,500
Eastern Europe
Poland 1,492 1,714 2,100 2,200
FSU
Russia 1,655 2,060 1,950 1,900
Ukraine 3,600 3,800 2,700 3,000
Africa
Egypt 1,088 1,109 1,145 1,250
South Africa 1,770 1,769 2,580 2,500
Middle East
Turkey 1,678 1,375 1,950 2,000
Asia
China 5,900 6,750 6,600 7,000
India 3/ 16,410 18,270 15,000 17,000
Indonesia 2,450 2,100 2,450 2,450
Pakistan 3,212 2,643 2,850 2,800
Philippines 1,647 1,787 1,900 1,850
Thailand 5,448 6,300 6,500 6,500
Oceania
Australia 5,196 5,136 5,400 5,600
Others 15,632 16,269 16,779 16,737
WORLD 115,842 122,509 121,409 124,989
1/ Includes Puerto Rico. 2/ Total EU sugar production excludes
3/ Includes khandsari sugar in thousands of tons (raw value equ
1995/96 - 620; 1996/97 - 620.
November 1996 Production Estimate and Crop Assessment Div.
USDA/FAS
WHEAT : World Production Estimates
1994/95 - 1995/96 and Forecast 1996/97
Production, Area, and Yield for Selected Producers
------------------------------------------------------------------
| | |PRELIMINAR | 1996/97 FORECAST
PRODUCER | UNIT | 1994/95 | 1995/96 | Oct. 11 Nov. 12
------------------------------------------------------------------
WORLD
Production MIL. MT 524.798 536.877 581.006 579.062
Area MIL. HA 215.200 219.738 230.645 230.707
Yield MT/HA 2.439 2.443 2.519 2.510
UNITED STATES
Production MIL. MT 63.167 59.400 62.099 62.099
Area MIL. HA 24.998 24.664 25.435 25.435
Yield MT/HA 2.527 2.408 2.441 2.441
TOTAL FOREIGN
Production MIL. MT 461.631 477.477 518.907 516.963
Area MIL. HA 190.202 195.074 205.210 205.272
Yield MT/HA 2.427 2.448 2.529 2.518
ARGENTINA
Production MIL. MT 11.300 9.200 14.000 14.500
Area MIL. HA 5.100 4.781 6.600 6.600
Yield MT/HA 2.216 1.924 2.121 2.197
AUSTRALIA
Production MIL. MT 8.903 16.975 20.000 21.000
Area MIL. HA 8.003 9.721 11.100 11.100
Yield MT/HA 1.112 1.746 1.802 1.892
CANADA
Production MIL. MT 23.122 25.037 29.800 29.800
Area MIL. HA 10.838 11.253 13.000 13.000
Yield MT/HA 2.133 2.225 2.292 2.292
EU-15
Production MIL. MT 84.541 86.157 98.650 98.650
Area MIL. HA 15.786 16.127 17.075 17.075
Yield MT/HA 5.355 5.342 5.777 5.777
FSU-12
Production MIL. MT 59.904 58.923 66.160 66.160
Area MIL. HA 42.218 45.310 47.700 47.700
Yield MT/HA 1.419 1.300 1.387 1.387
EASTERN EUROPE
Production MIL. MT 33.962 34.990 26.560 26.360
Area MIL. HA 10.072 9.710 8.670 8.730
Yield MT/HA 3.372 3.604 3.063 3.019
CHINA
Production MIL. MT 99.300 102.215 109.000 109.000
Area MIL. HA 28.981 28.860 29.500 29.500
Yield MT/HA 3.426 3.542 3.695 3.695
INDIA
Production MIL. MT 59.840 65.470 66.000 62.620
Area MIL. HA 25.100 25.600 25.100 25.100
Yield MT/HA 2.384 2.557 2.629 2.495
PAKISTAN
Production MIL. MT 15.212 17.002 17.000 17.000
Area MIL. HA 8.034 8.170 8.320 8.320
Yield MT/HA 1.893 2.081 2.043 2.043
TURKEY
Production MIL. MT 14.700 15.500 16.500 16.500
Area MIL. HA 8.600 8.550 8.450 8.450
Yield MT/HA 1.709 1.813 1.953 1.953
MEXICO
Production MIL. MT 4.151 3.460 3.200 3.200
Area MIL. HA 0.965 0.870 0.800 0.800
Yield MT/HA 4.302 3.977 4.000 4.000
OTHER W. EUROPE
Production MIL. MT 0.805 0.943 0.980 0.975
Area MIL. HA 0.171 0.173 0.173 0.173
Yield MT/HA 4.708 5.451 5.665 5.636
==================================================================
Nov. 12,1996 Timothy Rocke, Grains Chairperson, PECAD
CORN : World Production Estimates
1994/95 - 1995/96 and Forecast 1996/97
Production, Area, and Yield for Selected Producers
------------------------------------------------------------------
| | |PRELIMINAR | 1996/97 FORECAST
PRODUCER | UNIT | 1994/95 | 1995/96 | Oct. 11 Nov. 12
------------------------------------------------------------------
WORLD
Production MIL. MT 559.579 513.078 562.199 571.174
Area MIL. HA 134.332 133.132 138.678 139.478
Yield MT/HA 4.166 3.854 4.054 4.095
UNITED STATES
Production MIL. MT 256.621 187.305 228.919 235.349
Area MIL. HA 29.496 26.303 29.651 29.651
Yield MT/HA 8.700 7.121 7.720 7.937
TOTAL FOREIGN
Production MIL. MT 302.958 325.773 333.280 335.825
Area MIL. HA 104.836 106.829 109.027 109.827
Yield MT/HA 2.890 3.049 3.057 3.058
ARGENTINA
Production MIL. MT 10.900 10.660 12.500 13.500
Area MIL. HA 2.500 2.600 3.000 3.200
Yield MT/HA 4.360 4.100 4.167 4.219
SOUTH AFRICA
Production MIL. MT 4.845 10.200 9.500 9.500
Area MIL. HA 2.952 3.300 3.400 3.400
Yield MT/HA 1.641 3.091 2.794 2.794
THAILAND
Production MIL. MT 3.800 3.700 4.200 4.200
Area MIL. HA 1.200 1.140 1.250 1.250
Yield MT/HA 3.167 3.246 3.360 3.360
EASTERN EUROPE
Production MIL. MT 22.716 25.371 24.125 24.670
Area MIL. HA 7.068 6.949 7.085 7.085
Yield MT/HA 3.214 3.651 3.405 3.482
EU-15
Production MIL. MT 28.298 28.952 33.890 33.890
Area MIL. HA 3.717 3.690 4.091 4.091
Yield MT/HA 7.613 7.846 8.284 8.284
FSU-12
Production MIL. MT 4.032 6.990 4.085 4.085
Area MIL. HA 1.880 2.465 2.097 2.097
Yield MT/HA 2.145 2.836 1.948 1.948
MEXICO
Production MIL. MT 17.005 16.000 17.000 17.500
Area MIL. HA 8.022 7.000 7.300 7.500
Yield MT/HA 2.120 2.286 2.329 2.333
CHINA
Production MIL. MT 99.280 112.000 117.000 117.000
Area MIL. HA 21.152 22.767 23.500 23.500
Yield MT/HA 4.694 4.919 4.979 4.979
BRAZIL
Production MIL. MT 36.982 31.595 33.000 33.000
Area MIL. HA 14.189 13.385 14.000 14.000
Yield MT/HA 2.606 2.360 2.357 2.357
PHILIPPINES
Production MIL. MT 4.534 4.300 4.300 4.300
Area MIL. HA 2.967 2.760 2.700 2.700
Yield MT/HA 1.528 1.558 1.593 1.593
INDONESIA
Production MIL. MT 5.500 6.200 5.500 6.000
Area MIL. HA 3.109 3.652 3.100 3.500
Yield MT/HA 1.769 1.698 1.774 1.714
CANADA
Production MIL. MT 7.043 7.271 7.000 7.000
Area MIL. HA 0.955 1.003 1.050 1.050
Yield MT/HA 7.375 7.249 6.667 6.667
======================================================
Nov. 12,1996 Timothy Rocke, Grains Chairperson, PECAD
SOYBEANS : World Production Estimates
1994/95 - 1995/96 and Forecast 1996/97
Production, Area, and Yield for Selected Producers
------------------------------------------------------------------
| | |PRELIMINAR | 1996/97 FORECAST
PRODUCER | UNIT | 1994/95 | 1995/96 | Oct. 11 Nov. 12
------------------------------------------------------------------
WORLD
Production MIL. MT 137.767 124.321 132.707 133.731
Area MIL. HA 62.168 61.504 63.590 63.583
Yield MT/HA 2.216 2.021 2.087 2.103
UNITED STATES
Production MIL. MT 68.493 59.243 63.854 65.388
Area MIL. HA 24.629 24.938 25.673 25.673
Yield MT/HA 2.781 2.376 2.487 2.547
TOTAL FOREIGN
Production MIL. MT 69.274 65.078 68.853 68.343
Area MIL. HA 37.539 36.566 37.917 37.910
Yield MT/HA 1.845 1.780 1.816 1.803
ARGENTINA
Production MIL. MT 12.650 12.640 13.500 13.000
Area MIL. HA 5.700 5.980 6.000 6.000
Yield MT/HA 2.219 2.114 2.250 2.167
BRAZIL
Production MIL. MT 25.900 23.200 26.000 26.000
Area MIL. HA 11.680 11.000 12.200 12.200
Yield MT/HA 2.217 2.109 2.131 2.131
PARAGUAY
Production MIL. MT 2.200 2.300 2.500 2.500
Area MIL. HA 1.100 1.100 1.200 1.200
Yield MT/HA 2.000 2.091 2.083 2.083
CHINA
Production MIL. MT 16.000 13.500 13.300 13.300
Area MIL. HA 9.222 8.127 8.000 8.000
Yield MT/HA 1.735 1.661 1.663 1.663
INDONESIA
Production MIL. MT 1.600 1.700 1.700 1.700
Area MIL. HA 1.470 1.500 1.500 1.500
Yield MT/HA 1.088 1.133 1.133 1.133
EASTERN EUROPE
Production MIL. MT 0.256 0.303 0.352 0.352
Area MIL. HA 0.164 0.178 0.214 0.214
Yield MT/HA 1.561 1.702 1.645 1.645
EU-15
Production MIL. MT 1.032 0.939 1.090 1.090
Area MIL. HA 0.352 0.291 0.329 0.329
Yield MT/HA 2.932 3.227 3.313 3.313
CANADA
Production MIL. MT 2.251 2.293 2.170 2.170
Area MIL. HA 0.820 0.824 0.880 0.880
Yield MT/HA 2.745 2.783 2.466 2.466
=======================================================
Nov. 12,1996 Rod Paschal, Oilseeds Chairperson, PECAD
COTTON : World Production Estimates
1994/95 - 1995/96 and Forecast 1996/97
Production, Area, and Yield for Selected Producers
------------------------------------------------------------------
| | |PRELIMINAR | 1996/97 FORECAST
PRODUCER | UNIT | 1994/95 | 1995/96 | Oct. 11 Nov. 12
------------------------------------------------------------------
WORLD
Production MIL. BALES 85.520 91.584 87.458 87.018
Area MIL. HA 32.149 35.429 33.527 33.232
Yield KG/HA 579 563 568 570
UNITED STATES
Production MIL. BALES 19.662 17.900 18.189 18.594
Area MIL. HA 5.391 6.478 5.253 5.172
Yield KG/HA 794 602 754 783
TOTAL FOREIGN
Production MIL. BALES 65.858 73.684 69.269 68.424
Area MIL. HA 26.758 28.951 28.274 28.060
Yield KG/HA 536 554 533 531
AUSTRALIA
Production MIL. BALES 1.539 1.929 2.450 2.700
Area MIL. HA 0.222 0.304 0.380 0.380
Yield KG/HA 1,509 1,382 1,404 1,547
CENTRAL AMERICA
Production MIL. BALES 0.052 0.065 0.047 0.047
Area MIL. HA 0.017 0.019 0.013 0.013
Yield KG/HA 666 745 787 787
EGYPT
Production MIL. BALES 1.170 1.088 1.500 1.600
Area MIL. HA 0.305 0.306 0.380 0.387
Yield KG/HA 835 774 859 900
MEXICO
Production MIL. BALES 0.458 0.860 1.100 1.100
Area MIL. HA 0.146 0.242 0.300 0.300
Yield KG/HA 683 774 798 798
PAKISTAN
Production MIL. BALES 6.250 8.200 7.600 7.100
Area MIL. HA 2.650 3.048 3.200 3.200
Yield KG/HA 514 586 517 483
SUDAN
Production MIL. BALES 0.400 0.490 0.550 0.550
Area MIL. HA 0.174 0.220 0.240 0.240
Yield KG/HA 501 485 499 499
TURKEY
Production MIL. BALES 2.886 3.845 3.700 3.500
Area MIL. HA 0.582 0.741 0.710 0.714
Yield KG/HA 1,080 1,130 1,135 1,067
FSU-12
Production MIL. BALES 8.778 8.260 7.800 7.450
Area MIL. HA 2.707 2.573 2.545 2.545
Yield KG/HA 706 699 667 637
ARGENTINA
Production MIL. BALES 1.608 1.800 1.950 1.950
Area MIL. HA 0.700 0.940 0.900 0.900
Yield KG/HA 500 417 472 472
BRAZIL
Production MIL. BALES 2.526 1.791 1.900 1.600
Area MIL. HA 1.220 1.130 1.120 0.880
Yield KG/HA 451 345 369 396
CHINA
Production MIL. BALES 19.900 21.900 17.500 17.500
Area MIL. HA 5.530 5.422 4.600 4.600
Yield KG/HA 784 879 828 828
INDIA
Production MIL. BALES 10.814 12.258 12.000 12.200
Area MIL. HA 7.861 8.650 8.500 8.500
Yield KG/HA 300 309 307 313
=======================================================
Nov. 12,1996 Ron Roberson, Cotton Chairperson, PECAD
RICE (Milled Basis) : World Production Estimates
1994/95 - 1995/96 and Forecast 1996/97
Production, Area, and Yield for Selected Producers
------------------------------------------------------------------
| | |PRELIMINAR | 1996/97 FORECAST
PRODUCER | UNIT | 1994/95 | 1995/96 | Oct. 11 Nov. 12
------------------------------------------------------------------
WORLD
Production MIL. MT 365.602 370.406 376.148 378.654
Area MIL. HA 148.002 148.220 148.376 148.699
Yield MT/HA 2.470 2.499 2.535 2.546
UNITED STATES
Production MIL. MT 6.549 5.678 5.751 5.682
Area MIL. HA 1.342 1.252 1.177 1.177
Yield MT/HA 4.880 4.535 4.886 4.828
TOTAL FOREIGN
Production MIL. MT 359.053 364.728 370.397 372.972
Area MIL. HA 146.660 146.968 147.199 147.522
Yield MT/HA 2.448 2.482 2.516 2.528
PAKISTAN
Production MIL. MT 3.447 3.800 3.800 3.800
Area MIL. HA 2.107 2.090 2.000 2.000
Yield MT/HA 1.636 1.818 1.900 1.900
BURMA
Production MIL. MT 9.280 10.000 10.440 10.440
Area MIL. HA 5.517 5.700 5.700 5.700
Yield MT/HA 1.682 1.754 1.832 1.832
THAILAND
Production MIL. MT 14.124 14.400 14.200 14.200
Area MIL. HA 9.196 9.250 9.200 9.200
Yield MT/HA 1.536 1.557 1.543 1.543
CHINA
Production MIL. MT 123.151 129.650 130.000 132.000
Area MIL. HA 30.171 30.700 30.700 30.700
Yield MT/HA 4.082 4.223 4.235 4.300
INDONESIA
Production MIL. MT 32.333 32.700 34.000 33.500
Area MIL. HA 11.439 11.400 11.500 11.600
Yield MT/HA 2.827 2.868 2.957 2.888
REP. OF KOREA
Production MIL. MT 5.060 4.694 5.080 5.080
Area MIL. HA 1.102 1.056 1.060 1.060
Yield MT/HA 4.592 4.445 4.792 4.792
JAPAN
Production MIL. MT 10.903 9.781 9.200 9.400
Area MIL. HA 2.212 2.118 2.000 1.967
Yield MT/HA 4.929 4.618 4.600 4.779
BRAZIL
Production MIL. MT 7.402 6.650 7.000 7.000
Area MIL. HA 4.242 3.908 4.200 4.200
Yield MT/HA 1.745 1.702 1.667 1.667
AUSTRALIA
Production MIL. MT 0.813 0.819 0.900 0.950
Area MIL. HA 0.128 0.149 0.149 0.155
Yield MT/HA 6.352 5.497 6.040 6.129
PHILIPPINES
Production MIL. MT 6.809 7.263 7.300 7.300
Area MIL. HA 3.668 3.924 3.950 3.950
Yield MT/HA 1.856 1.851 1.848 1.848
INDIA
Production MIL. MT 81.160 79.460 82.000 82.000
Area MIL. HA 42.500 42.300 42.500 42.500
Yield MT/HA 1.910 1.878 1.929 1.929
BANGLADESH
Production MIL. MT 16.833 17.687 18.000 18.000
Area MIL. HA 9.922 9.950 9.950 9.950
Yield MT/HA 1.697 1.778 1.809 1.809
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Nov. 12,1996 Timothy Rocke, Grains Chairperson, PECAD
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